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<br />FLOOD COSTS IN 1977 DUE TO A HYPOTHETICAL FLOOD <br /> <br />The Storm. The existence of canyons onthe tributary streams of the South <br /> <br />Platte river renders Denver susceptible to flash floods. From these <br /> <br />canyons and occasional torential rains, a number of suburbs have experienced <br /> <br />floods in the past. Losses have been low because the casual storms were <br /> <br />not extensive and population density at the time of those floods was <br /> <br />relatively low. <br /> <br />But conditions for broadscale as well as flash flood have always <br /> <br />threatened Denver. Meteorlogists consider that a storm similar to that of <br /> <br />1965 impacting both Denver and newly populated canyons west of Denver, <br /> <br />could occur. This opinion would have been merely speculative but for <br /> <br />occurrence of floods over similarly situated areas. The storms of Rapid <br /> <br />City in 1972 and over the Big Thompson in August, 1976, give considerable <br /> <br />credence to the view that similar storms could occur anywhere along the <br /> <br />Front Range and extend broadly enough to cover Denver. <br /> <br />(See isohyets for <br /> <br />storms of the Rapid City and Big Thompson flood, in the appendix to this <br /> <br />study). There is a reasonable possibility that such a storm could occur <br /> <br />in any given spring or summer. A storm over the Front Range west of <br /> <br />Denver large enough to cover the metro area would release enough <br /> <br />so that sudden impact on highly developed and valuable land would result. <br /> <br />Such a storm is assumed to occur in 1977 in this study with the reserva- <br /> <br />tion that this occurrence follows a winter of normal snowfall. with the <br /> <br />soil in the mountains saturated from the runoff 'of this snow pack, stream <br /> <br />flow would be quick and unabated. Snow pack runoff and spring rains in <br /> <br />conjunction lead to flooding, particularly when precipitation is con- <br /> <br />centrated and enduring, as in'the storm of 1965. In the foothills and close <br /> <br />to Denver, the runoff could also be assumed to be faster following such rains. <br /> <br />-18- <br />