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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I I <br />I I <br />I <br />I <br />'I <br /> <br />I <br />II <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />valley, and that Dry Creek Ditch No.2 at first follows the left or west side of the <br />valley until it crosses the present location of Highway 36, where it goes down the <br />middle of the valley. To the left or west side of the ditch, the contours are lower <br />than the ditch location. Thus flood flows could make it to the west side of the <br />valley once they were higher than Dry Creek Ditch No.2, which is a likely <br />occurrence in times of flood. <br /> <br />There are two geologic zones of alluvium, based upon USGS geology maps and <br />report. The large center zone, denoted as Piney Creek Alluvium, is primarily <br />associated with alluvium coming from the mountain area drained by South Boulder <br />Creek and is related directly to "modern stream floodplains." The adjacent <br />Broadway and deeper Louvers Alluvium have surface grades that are generally <br />higher than the modern floodplains, but can have beds below the modern <br />floodplain. They illustrate a broad potential floodplain. The Piney Creek Alluvium <br />coupled with the historical topography illustrates a much wider potential floodplain <br />than the FHAD or FIRM maps and the tendency for the streams and floodplains to <br />migrate. <br /> <br />There is a significant tendency for the main channel to spill to the West Valley <br />above Highway 93 and Highway 36. If a major event were to transport sediment <br />from the mountains, we believe this tendency would increase. The east to west <br />valley tendency occurs downstream of Marshall Road and in most of the lower <br />South Boulder Creek floodplain. <br /> <br />Sediment transport potential for long term movement of sediment and bed change <br />is slowed by Gross Reservoir, which traps sediment from a majority of the <br />watershed. However, peak flood flow rates at the mouth of the canyon are unlikely <br />to be significantly reduced by Gross Reservoir because of the steep, narrow, and <br />large area below the reservoir. Therefore the stream at flood stage has nearly the <br />same capacity to transport large sizes of material as in pre-Gross conditions, but <br />the total volume of sediment would be reduced. <br /> <br />Further, there are numerous local effects which could lead to deposition and could <br />lead to migration, such as at bridges, diversions, and low capacity channel sections. <br />Also there are reaches where migration is potentially more likely, such as in the <br />washing pits and at the bank upstream of Highway 36 where the spill presently <br />occurs. These tendencies can affect the flow splits assumed herein, and thus <br />affect the hydrology of South Boulder Creek and West Valley Overflow flows and <br />duration of flooding. <br /> <br />The hazards associated with breaching or overtopping of the upper or middle <br />segment of the Flatirons Levee need to be carefully analyzed for the aspect of major <br />stream migration to the West Valley and for related worsening of the flood hazard <br />for extreme events. <br /> <br />11- 15 <br />