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<br /> <br />curves computed from the gaging records discussed in paragraph 4. The <br /> <br />MITCAT model was calibrated with the Golden gage, while SWMM was calibrated <br /> <br />with the Derby gage. Studies were made to reconstitute the computed dis- <br /> <br />charge probability values in the 10 to 25-year range since this is the <br /> <br />level where rainfall-runoff events apparently begin to dominate the dis- <br /> <br />charge array. Calibration studies at Golden using the MITCAT model were <br /> <br />made by varying the SCS curve numbers used in the loss routine of the program. <br /> <br />The calibrated discharge was 4,700 cubic feet per second at about the 20-year <br /> <br />level. An additional check was made at the 100-year level with Technical <br /> <br />Manual No. 1 published by the Colorado Water Conservation Board in 1976. <br /> <br />Using the criteria directly without reference to the record at the Golden <br /> <br />gage a 100-year discharge of 12,400 was obtained which compares with the <br /> <br />MITCAT results of 12,200 cubic feet per second. At the Derby gage ca1ibra- <br /> <br />tion studies of the SWMM model were made by varying the detention storage. <br /> <br />Comparison runs at the 100- and 10-year levels with urbanization removed <br /> <br />from the model produced a discharge frequency relationship that crosses <br /> <br />the computed curve at about the 50-year level. The model results ref1ect- <br /> <br />ing the effect of existing development is shown on attachment 3. <br /> <br />6. DISCHARGE-PROBABILITY PROFILES. <br /> <br />a. General. The discharge-probability profiles for the 500-, 100-, 50- <br /> <br />and 10-year events shown on attachments 4 and 5 were developed for Clear <br /> <br />Creek beginning at the Jefferson-Clear Creek County line and extending to <br /> <br />the mouth. These profiles were developed for existing and fully urbanized <br /> <br />conditions. The scenario for fully urbanized conditions was based on typical <br /> <br />7 <br /> <br /> <br />i <br />I <br />I <br />