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<br />I <br /> <br />into one of these low. cycles because the ten- <br />year successive mean will always equal <br />75,000,000 acre-feet. So it will be 7,500,000 <br />acre-feet one year after another year. with <br />that limitation in delivery to the Lower Basin, <br />there is no water remaining in the.Lower Basin <br />for any substantial increase in use in the <br />Lower Basin, such as contemplated by the Cen- <br />tral Arizona project. That contemplates, in <br />the original report and I think it is still <br />good, diversion from the river - depletion <br />of the river - of 1,200,000 acre-feet. Bene- <br />ficial consumptive use is diversions minus <br />return to the river of water tha t can be used <br />in the United States or available for satis- <br />faction of the Mexican Treaty burden. Some <br />of us believe that the central Arizona diver- <br />sions will equal beneficial consumptive use <br />the same as the California projects. We do <br />not believe that any water will ever get back <br />to the main stem from diversions for the bene- <br />fit of Central Arizona. So we can just call <br />it a flat 1.2 million. They'll have a little <br />more water left, maybe 300,000 feet. Randy <br />Riter and I were talking about it this morn- <br />ing. We thought it should be dumped right in <br />with Central Arizona at the time it is built, <br />if it is ever built, so it would be 1,500,000. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Our studies covered a great number of <br />study periods; a great number of assumptions; <br />to satisfy various interests in the upper <br />Basin. They covered a whole range in order <br />that they could not be criticized. There is <br />not a single one of the studies which is, as <br />I recall 34 in number, detailed operation <br />studies, but what show by the year 2000 short- <br />ages in the Lower Basin from 1,200,000 acre- <br />feet on up. Some of the studies showed over <br />2,000,000 acre-feet shortages by the year <br />2000. That's on the assumption that the <br />stage of Lake Mead would be kept at rated <br />power head in order that power might be gen- <br />erated. The compact makes power subservient <br />to consumptive uses. If it is assumed that <br />the consumptive use demand is such as to <br />