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<br />Horsefly Creek at the confluence with the San Miguel River is approximately 110,0 square <br />miles, so higher flows would be expected at the mouth of the creek than at the gage location, <br />The period of record for this gage was 1942-1951, the period of record used by staff in their <br />analysis was 1942-1951, or 10 years of record, Table 2 below displays the stream flow of <br />Horsefly Creek, in terms of a percentage of exceedence, <br />Table 2: Estimated Stream Flow on Horsefly Creek <br />Exeeedenees Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nav Dee <br />10/0 3,8 7,6 30,6 1282,0 1661,7 354,5 9,8 35,8 18.4 13,9 14,9 2,7 <br />50/0 3,8 7,6 30,6 754,5 644,8 55.4 4,6 3,8 1,3 7,7 9,6 2,7 <br />10% 3,8 7,6 30,6 473,7 454,6 32,9 3.4 2,3 0,8 2,7 9,6 2,3 <br />20% 1,1 1,5 22,9 343,8 223,1 19,9 2,0 0,8 0,0 1,9 1,9 1,5 <br />80% 0,0 0.4 1,1 9,9 26,0 0.4 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,8 0.4 <br />90% 0,0 0.4 0,8 5,7 13,8 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0.4 0,0 <br />95% 0,0 0,0 0,8 4,8 9,1 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 <br />99% 0,0 0,0 0,8 2,7 1,7 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 <br /> <br />Estimated Stream Flow on Horsefly Creek <br /> <br />20 <br /> <br />5 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />15 <br /> <br />lJ) <br />U 10 <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oet Nov Dee <br />Month <br /> <br />Table 2 shows that the summer flow recommendation of [3,0 cfs is available only from April I <br />to June 5, which corresponds with the snowmelt runoff period, Accordingly, the BLM <br />recommended that [3,0 cfs be appropriated during April I to June 5, and that no appropriation be <br />made for the remainder of the year because of limited water availability, <br /> <br />Precipitation Data <br />Staff reviewed local precipitation data sets from one site located around the Cottonwood Creek <br />Drainage (see Precipitation Data in Appendix C), Table 3 shows the water year and the percent <br />of average precipitation recorded for this site, It is staff's opinion that the ten years of stream- <br />flow data analyzed is representative of slightly below average water-years, <br /> <br />-4- <br />