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. Water Supply Outlook Report "most probable" forecast (50% chance of exceedance) for flows on the Arkansas River at Salida is less than 70% as of May 1; (ii) when CS-U reasonably determines that the most probable forecast (50% chance of exceedance) for diversions to its account from the Colorado River basin llO! lpl;!Q th~n 700/n of ~n,pr~{)"p ~Q nf f\A!l1J 1 -orith !l"p.r~op_ nf"lno rlp.finprl :lQ thp. -- ---- ----- --.- -- -'---0- - -- ----.I -, ....-- -----0- -----0 -------- --- ---- average of the most recent 20 years of actual diversions by CS-U to its account from Colorado River basin sources; (iii) at anytime any portion of CS-U's trans- basin or Upper Arkansas facilities suffers an unplanned failure that results in the loss of ability to deliver water to the Upper Arkansas Basin above the RICD reach or limits the ability to access water and deliver it to Colorado Springs; or (iv) if on May 1 of any year, the percent of capacity of the combined storage in CS-U's space in Twin Lakes Reservoir, Turquoise Reservoir, the Pikes Peak reservoirs, and in Rampart Reservoir is 25 percentage points below the most recent 20 year average for that date, For CS-U, Recovery Year Exchanges are permitted in the year that the shortfall conditions defined above occur, and in the following year if necessary to recover from the shortfall conditions of the preceding year. . c. For Southeastern, shortfall conditions for Recovery Year Exchanges shall be deemed to exist in a given year when, on May 1 of that year, either (i) any Turquoise Reservoir Enlargement capacity constructed after the date of this MOU (but not allocated by contract to BWWP, CS-U or any entity outside Southeastern's district boundaries), together with any Clear Creek Reservoir Enlargement capacity constructed after the date of this MOU that is allocated by contract to Southeastern, is less than 70% full; or (ii) the space available that year in the presently existing capacity of Turquoise and/or Twin Lakes Reservoirs for storage under excess capacity contracts held by Southeastern and/or its constituents (other than BWWP and CS-U), after considering Reclamation's most recent forecast of Fryingpan-Arkansas Project imports for that year, is less than 70% full. If the Flow Coordination Committee (described below at paragraph 6) agrees that a lesser reduction in the RICD call will fully accommodate all Recovery Year Exchanges allowed under this paragraph 2, then the full extent ofthe Reduced RICD Call as set forth in paragraph 5 below shall not be required and Chaffee County shall only reduce its RICD call to the extent agreed to by the Flow Coordination Committee. All Recovery Year Exchanges are further limited by the conditions set forth in paragraphs 4 and 5 below. 3. Limited Future Exchanges. Certain limited future exchanges described below are currently anticipated to be reasonably necessary to allow for future water supply needs under rights that will be junior to Chaffee County's RICDs (collectively and individually referred to herein as "Limited Future Exchanges"). In the event Chaffee County's exercise of the RICDs otherwise would reduce the ability to fully exercise the Limited Future Exchanges, Chaffee County agrees to implement a Reduced RICD Call (as described in paragraph 5 below) during the 30-Day Period in order to help facilitate the Limited Future Exchanges. Limited Future Exchanges are further limited by the conditions set forth in paragraphs 4 and 5 below. . S62341 4