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<br />This project was a technical review of the Corps of Engineers and National Weather Service, July 13, 1995, a <br />Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) Study for the Corps Dam Safety Investigation of the Cherry Creek - <br />Dam and Reservoir. This project also developed into a site- specific analysis for a PMP event in the Cherry <br />Creek Basin. The Board, in cooperation with the Cherry Creek Work Group, performed a technical review of the <br />Corps of Engineers' PMP investigation. The Board along withlocal governments in Douglas and Arapahoe <br />Counties selected Applied Weather Associates to perform the PMP review and a new site-specific PMP <br />analysis. A team of close to ten noted professionals comprised the A W A team. <br /> <br /> <br />The project received much interest using regional procedures for the determination of PMP values for the <br />Cherry Creek Basin in Colorado rather than general national procedures. The PMP values are the key, basic <br />elements for the Corps Dam Safety Study. The non-federal PMP study findings will be significant information <br />in the general public acceptance of any proposed reservoir operations or dam modifications. The Final report is <br />being prepared and the analysis was not changed based on the National Weather Service participation at the <br />final meeting. It was determined through discussion by many experts at the final meeting that the A W A study <br />findings were based on acceptable PMP procedures, regional storm events of PMP magnitude, and <br />maximization methods that appropriately represent the Cherry Creek basin. Lou Schreiner of the BOR is <br />considered by many to be the top expert in Dam Safety and PMP issues. He is also considered to be the most <br />thorough and competent reviewer of studies in the PMP arena. The three technical panel review members, Lou <br />Shcreiner - BOR, Nolan Doesken - Colorado Climate Center, and Gary Lewis -- Parsons Engineering endorsed <br />the study results and conceded that their concerns were addressed and incorporated into the final study findings. <br />The 24-hourbasin wide comparison would be 15.4inches for the AWA study and 21.7 inches for the NWS <br />study, a difference of 27% lower. This number is in line with previous site-specific studies versus regional <br />analysis studies. This difference in maximum rainfall can make a large difference in the volume of rainfall in a <br />flood, flood damages and the ultimate recommendation for dam safety improvements at Cherry Creek Reservoir. <br />Outcomes from the final meeting discussions were that the NWS use ofHMR 52 in a HMR 55A region was a <br />inappropriate and that an applications manual for the HMR 55A region should be developed similar to HMR 52. _ <br />The CWCB and A W A have completed the project and have exceeded the performance objectives of the original <br />scope of work completing a very detailed analysis of the Cherry Creek Basin. The CWCB staff will seek <br />endorsement of the CWCB Board and the project sponsors will seek endorsement by county commissioners and <br />city councils. Potential outcomes for this project are (I) to take both studies to the National Science Foundation <br />to figure out which study is more correct or (2) possibly using both of the studies numbers in a probable <br />maximum flood study and to compare the flood volumes and .flood damages and then make some decisions <br />based on the risk involved. One of the most telling National Weather Service comments from the final meeting <br />was there have been half a dozen PMP events in all of the United States documented to date. One of the most <br />telling comments from the final meeting from the technical review panel members was that we and our children <br />are not very likely to see a PMP event in Colorado. <br /> <br />9. Boslev Wash Feasibility Studv and Demonstration Proiect <br />Authorization: HB 00-1419 Grant Amount: $75,000 <br />Water Source: N/A Project Type: Flood Control <br />Location: Mesa County - near Clifton Project Manager: Larry Lang <br />Sponsor: Mesa County Beneficiary: Mesa County <br /> <br />This project is a Drainage Way Master Planning, Preliminary Drainage Design, Floodplain Delineation Study on <br />Bosley Wash and Stub Ditch in the Grand Valley. The stream experienced three major flood events in the <br />summer 1999. HDR Engineering was selected to perform the engineering work for this project, and a contract <br />has been signed with Mesa County. Work on the project is underway. The study evaluated the flood risks <br />throughout the basins and floodplains, determined the hydrologic and hydraulic characteristics of the study <br />reaches, delineated the flood hazard areas, and formulated flQod mitigation measures. A draft report has <br />been prepared that presents the study findings and recommendations. The report is under review by the project <br />sponsors and looking to be adopted by the local officials. The study produced project recommendations for a <br />couple of different options for a demonstration project. FloQdplain study was completed for $50,000 and there <br /> <br />e <br />