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<br />_ Implication of the Effecta of Cloud Seeding on Small <br />Mammals <br /> <br />Whether cloud seeding is good or bad is a value judg- <br />ment that lnvolves a compLeX system. Slnce deer mice <br />showed the greatest relationship with ~nowpack. I <br />will use this apecies as an example of the complexity. <br />Deer mice primarily eat .eeds during the winter <br />(Johnson 1962~ Vaughan 1974). Although deer mice occur <br />mainly on the south aspects. they do invade Dorth <br />. aspects when population densities are high; where. <br />because of their seed eating babits. tbey could po- <br />tentially interfere with natural reforestation of <br />conifers. ~eavy sDowpsck results in a reduction of <br />deer mice. so no deer mice are on the north 8sDects <br />and foresters might then consider cloud seed in ood. <br />eer m ee ee pr mari y on nseets during the summer. <br />and vith the bulk of the deer..1IlOuse population on the <br />south aspects. there could be a reduct10n at ner01- <br />vorous insecta and thus .ore torage vou~d rema1.n for ; <br />elk and catt~e. Heavy sDowpacK.TeauLts 1n a.reQuct10n <br />of deer mice. so'rancher_ and hunter. could consider <br />cloud seeding .bad. " Tb1_ ',~l!I:~~.p~..ented ,two ,: <br />.1dea to th~ .1~..~ o.f c:l~u~. ~~~~~.,~":.:.!.;~~~o-:, ~~ . <br />deer ~ee. yec:eY8n this.i_ ...~.,lifleatlon bec.ua. <br />ther.' are many. other interaction.. tbat could be con-. <br />sidered befor.'maklDg jUdgement.. When considering <br />.11 tha apeclu ,~f.,._ll', .........h.. ;the .y~t~ becomes <br />ev...-.or.e co-.plex,~:,:'Kaa7'.1Ilt~~t;~ .were oat atudiec! <br />dunGS the cour..;'of .tld. 'proj,ect'.\: Decle1on. aad. <br />solely 00 the~ruult. of thia'project could be errone- <br />ous. becaua. of .tbe llm1ced .cop. of , this project. <br />, :. ';. " .. ~ '. . '~', ,;'. ' .. ' . - <br /> <br />Extrapolation of results in ~ atudy to otber ~re.s <br />of the montane ecosystem iUgbt 'DOt be .ppropriate. <br />Vaughan (1969) studied lIOotR.e ...11. _-.18 $,0', <br />northern Colorado. .B1s data .bow dilferent. popula.tioQ; <br />trends in relation to snovpad:, although be ,d~~ .DOt <br />quantif)' his snowpack data. ' ' <br /> <br />Summary <br /> <br />Substantial home range data were obtained on deer mice <br />during the snow free period of the year. During the <br />firs~ 3 months after 8nowmelt. deer ~use bome range <br />size vas highly correlated (r--a.90) with population <br />size. Hypothesis A (Summertime bome range will be <br />unaffected by snovfall) would be accepted for deer <br />mice, because of the relationship of home range ,to <br />population size. Snowpack only has an i~d1rect effect <br />on home range through population aize. Data 'were' <br />insufficient to,make concluslo~a on Bypotheals.A.for <br />the 'other four speeie.. but I ~ect the hypotheSis <br />yould be accepted if sufficient-data .were available. <br /> <br />Hypothesis B (Increased .navfall viII increJ.e mortality <br />rates in the winter of occurrence and the summer follow- <br />ing) would not be.accepted for .ny apeeies. because <br />of its two parts. Tbere are data to snSYer the ftrst <br />part. but the phrase Itand the eWlllHr follov:1ng" make. <br />the hypothesis too broad to be testable. because <br />summer and winter mortality appear to be affected by <br />diUerent variables. <br /> <br />Density estimates for five species of small mammals <br />'Were obtained during eech live trapping period. Sample <br />sizes varied greatly, with deer,a1ce providing the <br />best data and long-tailed voles providing tbe least <br />reliable data. Deer.uouse population size had a <br />strong negative relationShip with soowpack, and chip- <br />munk population 8ize had a weak negative relationsbip <br />with snowpack. The other three species reacted to <br />variables other than sDowpack. thus obscurtns any <br />relationships with snoYpack. Annual variability in <br />snowpack is probably an important factor in allowing <br />an animal population to recover from any effects of a <br />heavy snow year. whether these effects a~e positive <br />or negative. <br /> <br />Sho~t term effects will he temporary. aDd long, term <br />effects would probably be a.~ociated vith any vegetation <br />chsnges. Each species has somewhat different habitat <br />preferences. so it is poasible that each species ~ill <br />respond in a different way on a long term basis. <br />Habitat preferences for each small mammal species are: <br />Ceer mice - south aspects with sparse herbaceouB <br />vegetation; montane voles - south aspects, probably <br />with dense herbaceous vegetationi red-backed voles - <br />conifer forest; long-tailed voles - clear-cut.areas <br />on north aspects; chipmunks - clear-cutB. near the <br />edge of the conifer forest. <br /> <br />-Sigojficance of the Study <br /> <br />Breedin of all the small herbivorous mammals in the <br />San Juans witb the possible exception 0 gophers s <br />inhibited by the presence of snow cover and the b~gin- <br />jn of breed1n 18 .corr~lated with time of snowmelt. <br />Thus it shou d poas e,to pre ct tee ect 0 <br />'increased snOwfall due to weather modification on the <br />timing of the initi.tion of the breeding s..aon pro- <br />vided the effect of tbe'iDcre..ed .now on duration <br />of the snovpack caD be predicted. Since air tempera- <br />.ture. have an equally 8ignificant role in determining <br />the date of aDowm4!t. :1t ~uld be nec.saary to cOo- <br />: aider that factor also... ,The result rill nec:e8sarlly <br />be :SJ1 appro~t1oD ~ith: rather :rlde ~1.m1.ts of unce["- <br /> <br />t..l:~ty. ., /~~1~t}t~:7~.:; J~~:J~;;~:-. ,~,: ,':. ::': . . '. . .' .. :':'.: ."~' , <br /> <br />The actual t!fiect':'on'.t~'~'8ma1l1a&mlMl8 tb'euelves will <br />be IlIOre ditUcult to assess. A shortened seasoa will <br />decrease the su.mer.recruitaent of Dew individuals <br />into the populatioD'~'.i:;:;;;~c;.au:se' .tJ:-~, total DUIllber of <br />litters is small a,ild the',t:l.e'required to rear each <br />litter is large in re.lAti~D.._to the total length of the <br />reproductive 8eason, and;.~.U8e of ,the factor of <br />synchronization of breed1n&'..Q~:females. it seems <br />possible that the effeet of the It.itatlon will be <br />somewhat greater than 4 8~le proportion of days <br />delayed relative to the day. required to rear one <br />litter. If the delay results in weaning of any <br />proportion of first litters_after the cutoff point <br />(not precisely known) the reduction in recruitment <br />will be more $ignificant because:tbo8. young will <br />'probably not reproduce until the fol1ov1ng-ye8['. the <br />delay will exert its mD8t significant influence on <br />tbose species whose 'primary habitats l1e on south <br />aspects. '. <br /> <br />The total number of births In tbe summer reproductive .. <br />season is only one component In the dynamics of I <br />populations, however. and the other compOnents, SU1lllller . <br />survIval of young and winter mortality at least in the <br />,..mple of yeat'8 we were observing, were more signiti- <br />cant in the ultimate determination of population size <br />than number of y~ung born. Food and feeding habits <br />as we have indicated above are very slgnificapt fact- <br />ors in survival of younS and mortality as well 8S <br />influencing natality directly. <br /> <br />Broad SiRnificant of Results <br /> <br />Since ocket gopher populations do not appesr related <br />to varying sQowpac, t seems un y t at t ey wou <br />be attected by snowpack augmentat10n. However, it <br />later lying snow consistently resUlted .1n increased <br />numbers ot w1nter casts. the 1mpact ot gophers on the <br />rassland 1.n bringing ~ubsoil to the Burtace and spreac- <br />ing it over a arger area wou e rester w t t e <br />the increased snowpac. This corresponds,vell with <br />findlngs in the alpine tundra ecosystem. Tbe r~ t(' of <br />sel] r.~vement is not thought so great at the lc~€~ <br />eleVations and gelltler slopes of the fores; eccS~S:'e:.i;~ <br />.50 the ultimate impact ot this etlect 01 pocket gopn~r~ <br />would not be as Irreat in the torest. <br /> <br />"'!' ., <br />