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<br />. <br />,. <br />.. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />,. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />It <br />. <br />" <br />. <br />II) <br />. <br />. <br />.. <br />.. <br />. <br />.. <br />,. <br />Ie <br />. <br />,. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />t <br /> <br />4.0 Storm Types <br /> <br />Over 30 of the identified storm events were analyzed to determine the weather pattems <br />and types of storm systems likely to produce significant snowfall during the winter season. It was <br />found that these heavier precipitation amounts occur during a variety of weather patterns, which <br />tend to vary according to the time of year. During the winter period (December-February), many <br />ofthese precipitation events resulted from strong zonal flow, with mid- and high-level Pacific <br />moisture moving over Colorado. Satellite images during these events were often very impressive, <br />with high cloud cover (very bright on the IR imagery) covering large portions of the western <br />U.S. Deep upper-level trough situations were also responsible for some ofthe precipitation <br />events, with storm systems over the south-western United States and southern Rockies favoring <br />the spring and fall seasons. Typically the more significant precipitation amounts were found to <br />occur in south-westerly flow in advance of the surface frontal system (sometimes well in <br />advance), although some did occur in northwesterly flow following the frontal passage. A thick <br />shield of high-level cloud cover was evident in most of these significant precipitation events, <br />suggesting a large amount of high-level moisture. Strong upper-level winds and ajet core near <br />Colorado were very often associated with these precipitation events. <br /> <br />5.0 700mb Wind Flow and Temperature Characteristics <br /> <br /> <br />Upper-air soundings (National Weather Service, twice daily balloon observations of <br />temperature, dew-point and winds) from Grand Junction, Colorado (GJT) were used to determine <br />the 700-mb (approximately 10,000') wind velocity and temperature, as well the stability of the <br />atmosphere. Although Denver is approximately the same distance away from the project area, <br />the Grand Junction soundings were primarily used because ofthe greater similarity of terrain <br />than Denver, which frequently experiences airmasses primarily affecting the Great Plains. <br />Denver soundings were used in a few cases when the sounding from Grand Junction was not <br />available. The 700-mb wind flow is used to represent the transport of potential seeding material, <br />and 700-mb temperature is used to gauge the seedability of the storm events. Silver iodide, the <br />chemical commonly used to conduct cloud seeding projects, becomes an active ice nucleant at <br />temperatures colder than -5 nC. Winter cloud seeding research has shown that ground releases of <br />silver iodide upwind of mountain barriers rises to heights of approximately 1000' above the top <br />ofthe barrier depending upon atmospheric stability. Therefore, the 700mb temperature, in <br />conjunction with the project's mean barrier height, can be used as an index of whether the silver <br />iodide particles are likely to reach effective temperatures in a given storm. <br />Wind roses for the 700mb level were prepared for all events combined and for individual <br />months. These wind roses are provided in Figures 1 to 8 . These wind roses are plots of the <br />frequency ofthe direction and speed of the 700 mb winds. The direction is reported as that from <br />which the wind is blowing (for example, a 2250 wind would be a wind blowing from the south- <br />west). The results of the analysis are summarized in Table 3. The 700-mb wind during these <br />stonn events strongly favored a southwesterly direction, with a direction between southerly and <br />westerly in approximately 64% of the 166 soundings examined. Wind direction was between <br />6 <br />