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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:28:07 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:14:19 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Weather Modification
Sponsor Name
Western Weather Consultants, LLC
Project Name
Cloud Seeding Analysis
Title
An Analysis of Regional Snotel and Ski Area Precipitation Data To Evaluate Precipitation Changes Resulting from Ten Seasons of Wintertime Cloud Seeding Operations over the Vail Ski Area
Prepared For
Vail/Beaver Creek Ski Areas
Prepared By
Western Weather Consultants, LLC
Date
3/1/2001
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />Conclusions from the Precipitation Analysis <br /> <br />General Observations <br /> <br />· The precipitation amounts on the snow pillow for Snotel observation is <br />exposed to drifting and, extended periods of evaporation. <br />Consequently, observations for the Non-seeded and total data sets are <br />likely less than what actually occurred. <br /> <br />· The Snotel reads precipitation amounts only in tenths of an .inch.. Most <br />other precipitation amounts are recorded in hundredths of an inch. <br />Consequently, this would also tend to underestimate the total <br />precipitation that occurred. Single day precipitation events would have <br />least accurate amounts and multiple day events would have more <br />accurate amounts recorded. <br /> <br />· The Ski Area observations have a degree of inconsistency in <br />observation times (ranging from 4:00am to 1:00pm) which could effect <br />the amount recorded for a single day event, especially if significant <br />precipitation is occurring near the observation time. In general, the Ski <br />Area precipitation observations are more representative of the daily <br />precipitation totals, by measuring to the nearest hundredth of an inch <br />. of water eCluivalent, and. they also give snow densities. . . <br /> <br />Results of Snotel Observations <br /> <br />· An evaluation of. the winter's precipitation during seeded periods <br />indicates a 15.6% average increase in the observed precipitation at the <br />Vail Ski Area compared to what was likely to have occurred. <br /> <br />· An evaluation of the total seeded days of precipitation over the region <br />indicated a 24.5% increase in the precipitation observed at Vail over <br />what was expected to have occurred. <br /> <br />· An evaluation of the precipitation on days with no seeding activities <br />indicated that the Vail Area had. an 8% greater amount of precipitation <br />that would have been expected. This could be explained by re- <br />adjusting our process to estimate the precipitation values for the Vail <br />Area or that Vail is situated in an ideal precipitation environment. In <br />
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