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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:27:58 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:13:30 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Weather Modification
Sponsor Name
MWDSC
Project Name
Weather Modification White Paper
Title
Weather Modification for Precipitation Augmentation and Its Potential Usefulness to the Colorado River Basin States
Prepared For
Colorado River 7 Basin States
Prepared By
Tom Ryan - Metro Water District of Southern California
Date
10/1/2005
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />Watershed Exoeriment. The Board of Atmospheric Sciences Workshop Report (BASC, <br />2001) included a strong recommendation that a "Watershed Experiment" be conducted in <br />the mountainous West, using all available technology and equipment. The NRC report <br />has a similar recommendation with many suggestions for evaluation and requirements for <br />protection of the environment and local water users. There are several western states' <br />watersheds worthy for consideration of such a program. This experiment has not yet <br />been funded. The Basin States could work cooperatively and cost share with other <br />agencies in developing this experiment, or suggest one in Colorado or Utah and work <br />with other agencies to design the experiment. This might be a cost-effective way to gain <br />experience. <br /> <br />Particioate in Onl!oinl( Prol(ram. As stated earlier, the cost of participating in an ongoing <br />program is significantly lower than developing a new one. Other advantages include: <br />use of the data generated during the operating period; an understanding of the costs, and; <br />some indication of the effectiveness of the program. Even if the program is not <br />operational as in the case of the CREST, much of the planning work has been completed, <br />which can be leveraged. That stated, even though some of the needed infrastructure for <br />the cloud seeding part of the program may be present in a basin, it could be argued that in <br />order to optimize operations, one would like to start fresh by evaluating generator <br />positions and likely add new ones to ensure complete coverage of the intended target. All <br />the research equipment needed for a comprehensive physical evaluation would certainly <br />not be in place. A high cost item is manpower to collect and analyze the data from a <br />wide variety of platforms. <br /> <br />Combination of Ooerations and Research. An operational program could be developed <br />or an existing one expanded. Part of any program should include a research or evaluation <br />component. Recently, the state of Wyoming (see above) has taken it upon itself to <br />initiate WxMod evaluation experiments, without assistance from federal or other <br />agencies. The Wyoming evaluation component includes statistical evaluation of <br />snowpack data in seeded versus non-seeded areas, or a historical versus seeded approach, <br />modeling studies, and real-time SL W verification, among other things. Another option <br />would be to piggy-back additional research onto an existing project since even the <br />relatively large Wyoming budget may not be adequate to perform detailed physical <br />studies. <br /> <br />Identification of Target Areas <br /> <br />In the Colorado River Basin, two areas to consider would be those that the CREST <br />originally targeted with high priority (Grand Mesa in Colorado and Wasatch Plateau in <br />Utah). A good reason to choose these sites is that much of the work in assessing their <br />usefulness has already been defined. The CREST planning document (001, 1993) also <br />identified 23 secondary experimental areas in the states of Colorado, Utah, Wyoming and <br />Arizona. However, since the project was not completed, there are no statistically <br />significant results that can be used for the purposes of this paper. However, the physical <br />studies done in these areas are more valuable than statistical ones, and since none of the <br />areas have statistical results, these original project areas have a big advantage. <br /> <br />-24- <br />
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