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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:27:58 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:13:30 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Weather Modification
Sponsor Name
MWDSC
Project Name
Weather Modification White Paper
Title
Weather Modification for Precipitation Augmentation and Its Potential Usefulness to the Colorado River Basin States
Prepared For
Colorado River 7 Basin States
Prepared By
Tom Ryan - Metro Water District of Southern California
Date
10/1/2005
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />of intentional weather modification, although the probabilities for seeding-induced <br />alterations are high in some instances." So even though those that have reviewed the <br />report may view weather modification with some skepticism, the report still contains <br />much optimism which is welcome in the operational WxMod community. <br /> <br />Perhaps the most up-to-date and balanced assessment of the state ofWxMod comes from <br />Garstang et al. (2005). This article presents the report of a workshop addressing the NRC <br />report from both operational and research perspectives. Major findings were: <br /> <br />. Substantial advances in understanding, observing technology, data acquisition and <br />processing, and numerical modeling have occurred in the last three decades; <br /> <br />. There is now considerable evidence, but not definitive scientific proof, that <br />treatment can cause changes in clouds and the physical processes leading to the <br />formation of rain, hail, and snow; <br /> <br />. The ability to focus on remaining uncertainties and to remove or reduce <br />obstructions to progress is now very real, and; <br /> <br />. Conducting contro1\ed WxMod experiments and capitalizing upon operational <br />programs wi1\ advance understanding in both deliberate and inadvertent WxMod. <br />The need for a coordinated national research program is supported in this context. <br /> <br />WxMod operations can be effective in drought preparedness and as a drought recovery <br />tool if there are sufficient storms with which to work. Developed programs should be <br />sustainable and operate year-in and year-out to achieve maximum efficiency. Seeding <br />can be effective on naturally efficient storms and can improve marginally efficient <br />storms. There must be some storms with which to work, however, and these are <br />infrequent during a drought. Therefore waiting until a drought to initiate WxMod is <br />likely too late. <br /> <br />III. USEFULNESS TO THE BASIN STATES <br /> <br />Drought Management <br /> <br />Weather modification/precipitation management is a potential cooperative interstate <br />activity for consideration in Colorado River drought/shortage management strategies <br />which could lessen the impact of drought, prevent water shortages, and enhance reservoir <br />system recovery. Depending on the measures that are pursued, it may be desirable to <br />develop a federal/state drought management and storage recovery initiative, especially if <br />there is a need for timely congressional action, federal appropriations and rules and <br />regulations. <br /> <br />-22- <br />
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