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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:27:58 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:13:30 PM
Metadata
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Template:
Weather Modification
Sponsor Name
MWDSC
Project Name
Weather Modification White Paper
Title
Weather Modification for Precipitation Augmentation and Its Potential Usefulness to the Colorado River Basin States
Prepared For
Colorado River 7 Basin States
Prepared By
Tom Ryan - Metro Water District of Southern California
Date
10/1/2005
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />effective operational program. The 3: I and 10: I ratios are dependent on spacing of the <br />seeding material generators. <br /> <br />During the 2003-2004 winter on the Wasatch Plateau; the Utah component of the WDMP <br />was conducted (Super and Heimbach, 2005). New chemical compositions, such as silver <br />chloride-iodide complexes, may act more efficiently to produce ice particles at <br />temperatures warmer than -5 degrees C, where AgI is ineffective. Similar warm <br />temperature results may be achieved by cost-effective liquid propane generators (Medina <br />2000). The Utah WDMP experiment operated such generators. AgI is thought to be <br />effective between -6 to -8 degrees C. Propane releases however can produce abundant <br />ice crystals as warm as -2 degrees C. This was one of the first attempts to test liquid <br />propane (LP) as a seeding agent in a fully randomized experiment. Targeting of the <br />seeded plume was assured from previous experiments. LP dispensers were remotely and <br />automatically operated, based on the presence of SL W measured at the dispenser site in <br />real time. A short-duration experimental unit (EU) elicited a robust population for <br />statistical analyses, of which there were three types. Seeded units produced over 20% <br />more snowfall than unseeded units. It was estimated that if all hours containing the EUs <br />had been operationally seeded, the seasonal (entire winter) precipitation increase would <br />have been 8%. The Utah WDMP experiment needs replication in other areas. <br /> <br />Nevada <br /> <br />Although Nevada is one of the seven Basin States, its snowpack enhancement activities <br />have been focused in northern Nevada in basins outside the Colorado River system. Its <br />research and operational programs are still applicable to the overall endeavors in <br />wintertime cloud seeding. Research in WxMod has been conducted through the Desert <br />Research Institute since the mid-1960s through both Bureau of Reclamation and NOAA <br />sponsored programs. Nevada actively participated in Project Skywater and the Sierra <br />Cooperative Pilot Project (Reclamation in 1970s and 1980s), the NOAA Atmospheric <br />Modification Project (1980s and 1990s) and the Reclamation Weather Damage <br />Modification Program (2003 to present). Two of the key areas of research have been use <br />of remote sensing to document seeding potential through the measurement of supercooled <br />liquid water, and the use of trace chemistry techniques to evaluate seeding effectiveness <br />(Warburton et al, 1995). In addition, a 3-year randomized cloud seeding experiment was <br />conducted in the 1970s (Pyramid Lake Project) to evaluate the effects of seeding in the <br />Lake Tahoe Basin. A statistical evaluation showed positive effects of seeding (-+17%) <br />in some storm partitions (stratifications), but the results were not significant at the 5 to <br />10% level. <br /> <br />Nevada has conducted a state-funded operational program since the 1970s, with <br />continuous operation over the past 21 years. The current program seeds five separate <br />drainage basins in northern Nevada and California (California basins drain into Nevada). <br />The project uses a combination of remotely-controlled ground generators and a single <br />seeding aircraft. Estimates of snowfall augmentation are based on periods of operation <br />and nominal precipitation increases during periods when all seeding criteria are satisfied. <br />The augmentation estimates have ranged from 50,000 to 80,000 acre-feet annually, which <br /> <br />-15- <br />
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