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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:27:58 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:13:30 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Sponsor Name
MWDSC
Project Name
Weather Modification White Paper
Title
Weather Modification for Precipitation Augmentation and Its Potential Usefulness to the Colorado River Basin States
Prepared For
Colorado River 7 Basin States
Prepared By
Tom Ryan - Metro Water District of Southern California
Date
10/1/2005
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />use them as a basis for testing models, and develop new statistical methods for evaluating <br />the efficacy of those operations. However, the WMA believes that there is convincing <br />scientific evidence of positive effects2, and the NRC authors "had very limited experience <br />or knowledge in weather modification operations.,,3 Other areas of concern were that the <br />NRC committee had no members from the WxMod operations community, lacked depth <br />in research, lacked expertise in hail suppression, orographic seeding, and the modeling of <br />seeding effects. <br /> <br />The primary topic with which the WMA takes issue relates to the difficulty in quantifying <br />the absolute values of seeding effects. They disagree with the NRC's conclusion <br />regarding lack of scientific proof that cloud seeding produces desired results. They argue <br />that the NRC's standard of proof is so high that research associated with few atmospheric <br />science endeavors could satisfy it, and that there is a logical inconsistency. The WMA <br />points out that arguments for both global climate change and inadvertent weather <br />modification both fail that level of proof, yet the NRC acknowledges that both of those <br />processes are realities. On the other hand, the efficacy of cloud seeding is questioned. <br />The WMA also believes, unlike the NRC panel, that it is not premature to initiate large- <br />scale operational projects. <br /> <br />American Societv of Civil Em/ineers (ASCE). In May 2003, the ASCE adopted Policy <br />Statement No. 275, which supports and encourages the protection and prudent <br />development of atmospheric water (also known as weather modification or cloud <br />seeding) for beneficial uses. Sustained support for atmospheric water data collection, <br />research and operational programs, and the careful evaluatious of such efforts including <br />the assessment of extra-area and long-term environmental effects, is essential for prudent <br />development. ASCE recommends that the results and findings of all atmospheric water- <br />management programs and projects be freely disseminated to the professional <br />community, appropriate water managers and the public. The ASCE has published a <br />Cloud Seeding Manual (ASCE, 1995). <br /> <br />American Meteorolosrical Societv (AMS). In January 1992, the American <br />Meteorological Society adopted a policy statement with regard to Planned and <br />Inadvertent Weather Modification. The AMS indicated that there is considerable <br />evidence that, under certain conditions, precipitation from supercooled orographic clouds <br />can be increased with existing techniques. Statistical analyses of precipitation records <br />from some long-term projects indicate that seasonal increases on the order of 10% can be <br />realized, however the cause and effect relationships have not been fully documented <br />(AMS, 1992). <br /> <br />World Meteorological Organization (WMO). In their latest WxMod status statement <br />(2004), the WMO states that "Improved observational facilities, computer capabilities, <br />numerical models and understanding now permit more detailed examination of clouds <br />and precipitation processes than ever before, and significant advances are consequently <br />possible." Also, .....it is considered that the g1aciogenic seeding of clouds formed by air <br /> <br />2 WMA, 2004, p. 8 <br />, WMA, 20M, p. 3 <br /> <br />-9- <br />
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