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<br />been increasing from 1922 to 2003 with a commensurate decrcase in the fraction ofthc water <br />year streamt10w occurring in the April-September period (see Figure 5), <br /> <br />12000 <br /> <br />+---L <br /> <br />. .. i <br />. .~. -.-+-. <br />I ~- <br />.+-.. I .-. <br />I . I <br />H <br />--t ; <br /> <br />~ <br />- <br /> <br />11000 <br /> <br />" <br />> <br />" <br />...J <br />() <br />Cl <br />" <br />'C <br />'" <br />. <br />- <br />.l: <br />.!!' <br />" <br />:I: <br /> <br />10000 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />9000 <br /> <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />8000 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />7000 <br /> <br />6000 <br />1950 <br /> <br />1960 <br /> <br />1970 <br /> <br />.1 . .-+--. <br /> <br />I .. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />I <br />I . <br />.- <br />I...-! <br />, <br />..,.~. <br />. .... I <br />. <br />I <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />=i= <br /> <br />+- <br /> <br />1980 <br /> <br />1990 <br /> <br />2000 <br /> <br />WaterYear <br /> <br />Figure ~, The avcragc height of thc -5"C level on precipitation days during the October-March <br />period as a function of water ycar. <br /> <br />It is, therefore, possible that as the hcight of the -5"C level (or the hcight of the activation <br />tempcrature level for the specific silver iodide chemical complex being used) increased with <br />time, a criticallcvcl was reachcd in about 1990, give or take a year or two, when less and less of <br />the silver iodide released from the ground generators activatcd in the quantities, locations and <br />times intended. thereby decrcasing the efTectiveness of the sceding operation. The situation is <br />not. of course, as simplc as that. How and \\'hen the incrcasc in height of the _50C level impacts <br />seeding eficctivcness also depends on the topographical configuration of each \vatershcd and the <br />strategy employed in seeding each watershed, i,e., the number and height of ground seeding <br />generators, the aircraft sceding frequcncy, and the silver iodide chemical complex uscd in each <br />of the operational seeding programs. It is interesting to note that the Group I operational sccding <br />programs with the most sustained positive rcsults arc in the northern part of thc Sierra Nevada <br />Mountain range and the Group 2 operational seeding programs where the sceding ctlcctivcness <br />decayed most rapidly allcr about 1990 are in the southcrn part of the Sicrra Nevada :Vlountain <br />range. Thc southern end of the Sicrra Nevada Mountain range is the highest and most rugged <br />with II peaks topping 14.000 ft and. consequently, with more complcx airflow. <br />As a potcntial remedy for the decreasc in seeding effectiveness; thc seeding procedurcs <br />might be able to be adjusted to lit the changing meteorology by using silver iodide chemical <br />complexcs better suited to the changing mcteorological conditions ami/or making greater use of <br />aircrall sceding. The efTectivencss of the ground generator configurations might also be <br />improved by increasing their numbcrs and locations. <br /> <br />45 <br />