LongTermOutlookJan2006

• Title: Seasonal Outlook through June 2006
• Date: 1/17/2006
• Description: Presentation
• Basin: Statewide
• Drought Mitigation - Doc Type: Presentation

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Model Forecasts 01 ENSO Irom Sep 2005

Model Forecasts of ENSO from Jan 2006

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ENSO forecasts from 12 numerical and 8 statistical forecast models: in
September, not a single model predicted La Nina conditions of the
strength currently observed (left); the preliminary update for this month
shows almost all models reverting back to "normal by this summer. In
both snapshots, there is an unusual spread in model forecasts for this
time of year.