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<br />The Pacitic stonn track is still very <br />active. There will be tiH days of cooler <br />stonny wet wcather. <br />The graphic is the f1em(s \\eather <br />wheel and it shows a yellow line that is <br />40 degrees north. The bluc line is thc <br />a\'crage height of the stonn track. <br />Henz sces three stonny periods directed <br />right at us with the hot dry period <br />coming in August. <br />There will bt: more storms than <br />average. cooler than average. w ilh the <br />opportunity for precipitation \\ill be <br />significant. <br />Warming of the atmosphere will slow <br />the storms but sometimes when this - <br />happens there is the invigoration of the monsoon season. <br />\Ve should ah\ays look at Tucson. Arizona to see what will develop in Colorado for monsoon <br />seasons and it looks good tor monsoons. We havc heard that it is going to be an extremely active <br />hurricane season this year and those two predictions are at odd with each other. <br />When EI Nino is above average it holds down the monsoon season. <br />The stonny periods \..ill hit us then <br />break near the fourth ofJul)". <br />lIenz predicts that EI Nino"" ill <br />rebound into a moderate year EI Nino <br />\ear this next winter. <br />july IS_20th monsoon activity makes <br />it \\a)" up here from Arizona. <br />Forecasting monsoons is dillieuh and <br />there arc two types of monsoons. one <br />from Arizona and the second type <br />comes from east Texas and <br />Oklahoma. We ""ill have an average <br />monsoon is southwestern Colorado. <br />This year the monsoon will be <br />coming from southeast and not so <br />much from southwest. <br />June 20-july 10 will be key periods for tire danger. but particularly in the YampaJWhite and <br />North l'latte basins. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />-. - <br /> <br />L <br /> <br />- <br /> <br />LH <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />H <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />'L <br /> <br /> <br />H <br /> <br />I:' <br /> <br />'0 <br /> <br />> <br /> <br />... <br /> <br />-. <br /> <br />- <br /> <br />( <br /> <br />H <br /> <br />H <br /> <br />L <br /> <br />.~-..- <br /> <br /> <br />-, <br />~ <br />~ <br /> <br />'!"?!:'] <br /> <br />nWR - Statewide W~tter Supph. Index H.ellort - Keith Van cler lIorsr <br />. The Division of Water Rcs.ources post the 5WSI report on the web at <br />htto;!!water .state .co.usloubslswsi .aSD <br />. Typically peak run olT occur in June bUlthis year they occurred in :-'Iay. Some \\ere in June <br />but most were in ~tay <br />. Tracking helm.. normal at the South Platte River gage at Kersey at 57% of long tenn average. <br /> <br />f1oo.l J'ro(l'rtIlXlO W~~rPro,trtPl.1nnmg~nd Fuunc.Y oStn-am.usd Lakc-ProttalOa <br />W~tc-r SlIpply PTot<<uoIl 0 COf1$C"fV,UlOll Pl.uuung <br />