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<br />until 11 o'clock at night to keep us posted on what's going, and Greg Walcher and the Governor's
<br />office really appreciate that, Second of all, I talked with Bob Storch this morning, who is the
<br />forest supervisor for the Grand Mesa, Uncompahgre and the Gunnison National Forests, and as
<br />you know, there is a significant fire complex there called the Blacktail Complex, and as of this
<br />morning was about 3300 acres, A couple things that are interesting there, One is that., ,there are
<br />two elements, The Blacktail fire and the 47 fire, The 47 fire has been moving, the terrain is steep
<br />and that's also a special management area because its an area that's been identified as a potential
<br />wilderness area, so that is not a whole lot of active management going on at that piece of the fire
<br />right now, But given the size of that fire and terrain, the estimate is that the complex will not be
<br />contained until May 27th, so you can see we're talking about days in terms of putting a fire line
<br />around some of these fires, The other interesting factors that are being observed in the Blacktail
<br />fire, is the difference in the fire between managed areas of a forest and unmanaged areas, It
<br />appears that when a fire is moving from an unmanaged area to a managed area, the fire is literally
<br />stopping, And not only is it stopping, the fllUlles are literally only a couple of feet off the grown,
<br />as opposed to going all the way up the tree, And apparently there are a nmnber of photographers
<br />in Denver that are going over today, as a matter of fact, to take pictures of that, but it really shows
<br />the value of our forest management. These areas over the last 7 years have been managed both
<br />through thinning and through prescribed fire, And what we're seeing right now on the ground is
<br />that that type of management pays off, So there are some itnportant facts from the Western Slope,
<br />
<br />Rich - Anyone else? Great, thanks,
<br />
<br />Brad, - We appreciate you being here, I know you're super-busy, so I'll let you get going again,
<br />Thanks again, OK, let's move into our reports, the first one up is Snowpack. Mike Gillespie,
<br />
<br />Mike Gillespie -1 did bring some handouts, but we're trying to cut back on the quantities we
<br />bring, so I'll just rely mainly on the PowerPoint, If! can get this working, OK. May 1 st
<br />snowpack, as you see there, pretty dismal looking picture, 19% average, 24% last year, and we'll
<br />keep our category of exceptionally below average snowpack at 0 - 25% in there, it's now, most of
<br />the state is in that category, 25-50% of average snowpack across the northwest portion ofthe
<br />state, it's spreading down the west side of the Continental Divide, upper headwaters of the
<br />Colorado and the headwaters of the Arkansas, But elsewhere across the state, just dismal
<br />conditions as far as snowpack. So where do we wind up here May 1,t? At 19% of average,
<br />Looking back through the last 36 years or so, you see we're at the lowest during that time period,
<br />other low years were 1981 with 21 % of average, and 1977 was 43% of average, We'll talk more
<br />about the other two dry years of '77 and '81 here, This is the April 1 snowpack, and you saw this
<br />last month, And we usually consider April 1 to be the total maximmn accmnulation of snowpack,
<br />so when someone asks me what is the snowpack like in a certain year, I always refer to the April 1
<br />snowpack, and this is pretty much how we're going to wind up this year, 52%, maybe not quite as
<br />bad as '77, but probably worse than 1981 for sure, Here's a summAry of this year's snowpack by
<br />basin, you can see the general trend now, weJve got 5 months lU:cmnulated, and these are percents
<br />of average for each individual month, the trend this year has been decreasing as we go through
<br />each month, so conditions have pretty much worsened each month throughout this winter, We can
<br />see that it really dropped off in May, that's an indication of how quickly we melted what we had,
<br />Just below average snowfall alone, We look at some other years, this is 1981, you can see kind of
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