Laserfiche WebLink
<br />Model Forecasts of ENSO from Apr 2006 <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />IRI <br /> <br />. . <br />2.5 .... .. ......... -~.... ... .. -. -.....~..... ..,.......... ... ... ',"........... ... .......... "._. ... .. <br /> <br />, . , . <br />2 .. -... .;........~. ..'.... ~ ...... ..~...... -~.. ......~....... .;.... _u.;......, _ ro...... .;....... <br /> <br />1.5 ... . . . .;-... . ... -;. . . . ... . ~ ... . .. . . ~ .. .. . . . ~. _ . . .... : . . .. .. . .;..... . . . : .. . ... .. : . _ _. _ . . .;.. ... ._ <br />. . '" .. <br />. . '" <br />. . '" <br />, . '" <br />. . '" <br />. . '" <br />" " <br />, . - - .. .;....... -~.... ... .; -. -...."... .. . -:........: ...... ";"... -. -. ......:. -..... ":". . - -.. <br /> <br />. - ' <br /> <br />u <br />'l... <br />>- <br />iij <br />E <br />o <br />c <br /><( <br />Iii 05 <br />(Jl <br />". <br />M <br />o <br />Z <br />Z <br /> <br />,/~:-"... <br /> <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. . <br />.... " .,........~.... ... ..........~.. ... .. <br />, , , <br />, <br />, <br /> <br /> <br />,.' <br /> <br />,~-- <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />- , <br />~-- <br /> <br />-"5 <br /> <br />.............. <br />.' <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />-1 ...... ':" - ...... ~......_.;... .....~.. -.-.. ~..... ........... ":'" __... ~... <br />" .. " <br />.. .. .. <br />.. .. .. <br />" " <br />.. '. <br />" '. <br />, . , <br />....'..........................'....... <br /> <br />-,.~ '" ...:..... ...~.... ... .~.... .-..~....... ~. ...... .~... <br />. . " . <br />. .. . <br />. " . <br />. " . <br /> <br />aas <br /> <br />:FORECAST : <br /> <br />-2 <br />JFM '""", MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ <br />2006 <br /> <br />Dynamical Medel: ENSO <br />. NASA forecasts from <br />. N: EP,'CFS 12 numerical <br />. JMA <br />. SCRIPPS & 8 statistical <br />. LDEO forecast <br />. AUSPOAMA <br />. ECMWF models: about <br />. UKMO half of the <br />. KOREA SNU <br />. ZHA~ ICM models push <br /> ECHAM MOM for a rapid <br />. COLA MOM <br />- Statistical Medel transition <br />0 CPC MR KOV towards El <br />0 CDCLlM <br />0 CPC CA Nino <br /> CPC CCA conditions, <br /> csu CLlPR while the other <br />0 uoc NNET <br />0 FSU REGR half slowly <br /> LJ:lA- TCD drift towards <br />llJF <br /> , normal' . <br />