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<br />Jan-Mar '06 Early Recap <br /> <br />I predicted a general dipole of above- <br />average wetness in UT & especially in <br />the mountains of northern & central CO <br />versus dryness from AZ thru NM into <br />eastern CO (-V- the verification map <br />..... does not use SNOTEL data). <br /> <br />EXPERIMENTAL CDC PRECIPITATION FORECAST GUIDANCE <br />JAN. MAR 2006 (issued December 13.2005) <br /> <br />~.. <br /> <br /> <br />.,... <br />.,... <br />~.. <br /> <br />.", <br /> <br />Out of nine forecast regions, I <br />have at least six in the predicted <br />tercile of the distribution <br />(Heidke Skill Score>O.50), even <br />excluding the mountains of <br />northern and central CO. <br /> <br />Percent of Normol Precipitation (%) <br />12/13/2005 - 3/12/2006 <br /> <br /> <br />.. 1-- ... <br />~ 2t> ~ 70 90 100 110 130 l:ioO :roo .Kia <br /> <br />Generated 3/1312006 al HPRCC UsiM orollisianol data. <br /> <br />NOM Reaional Climate Cenws <br />