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LongTermOutlookJan2005
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Last modified
9/27/2011 3:26:43 PM
Creation date
9/30/2006 10:20:37 AM
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Template:
Drought Mitigation
Title
Seasonal Outlook for the first half of 2005
Date
1/18/2005
Description
Presentation
Basin
Statewide
Drought Mitigation - Doc Type
Presentation
Document Relationships
ClimateUpdateJan2005
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
SWSIReportJan2005
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
WATFAgendaJan2005
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
WATFSummaryJan2005
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
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<br />Detailed Analog EI Nino Composites for 2004-5 <br />MAY: Precipitation Composites <br />(1964,1970,1978,1987.1991.1992,1995,2003,2004) <br /> <br />}lAW Precipitation Composites <br />(I987.t 991,1992. t995) minu. (1964.1970.1978.2004) <br /> <br />'OM <br /> <br />4tM <br /> <br /> <br />l..... <br />::.. . (. <br />": " ~. <br />. <br /> <br />. ,.. <br />. J."~ <br />~. <br />..... '" <br />o . ..... . <br />,. <br /> <br />4tM <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />.. <br />". . ~ <br /> <br />.. <br /> <br />..M <br /> <br />. . <br />.. <br />'r <br /> <br />'OM <br /> <br />31M <br /> <br />31M <br /> <br />'" <br /> <br />'" <br /> <br />'OM <br /> <br />12'. 1221 1201 III' <br /> <br />1111 <br /> <br />114"1 IIn <br /> <br />110.W <br /> <br />Ion lOon <br /> <br />12.. Izn l20Y 118'1' <br /> <br />110.W <br /> <br />..... .... <br />~ 10.0. 1";0...... <br /> <br />.. ............ <br />10. 20 30 4o.!oQ 8(l7tl1lO IlOl001l0120130140I!!O <br /> <br />The same analysis for spring (left) shows improved prospecls for almOSI all of AZ, NY, UT, western CO, and SW WY. If the <br />EI Nino were to grow into 2005, there would be a belter chance for increased moisture over almost all of the Colorado River <br />Basin. Given the average seasonal cycle, the Green River basin would benefit the most from this (followed by mountains of <br />nonhern UT and CO), while AZ typically gets the least moisture during spring. None of the last three panels are statistically <br />field significant. <br />
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