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<br />Down-scaled medium-range forecasts <br /> <br />Analog Prob Preclp > 80th Percentile <br /> <br />test from 200503 t 800 valid 2005032100-2005032400 <br /> <br />Analog Prob Preclp > 80th Percentile <br /> <br />percent test from 2005031800 valid 2005032300-2005032800 <br /> <br />percent <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />4. 8 121620 24 28 32 36 40 oW 46 52 58 60 &4 S8 72 76 80 64 88 92 96 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />4 8 121620 24 28 32 36 40 4446 52 58 60 64 68 72 78 80 &4 88 92 96 <br /> <br />4-6 day and 6-10 day high-resolution forecasts for the upper quintile of <br />precipitation (odds for upper 20% - roughly doubled for us!). <br />Source (for CDC reforecasts): http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/reforecast/narr/ <br />