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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />(NDT) which is dependent on the time of day, wind speed, solar intensity, or is <br />correlated with customer's steam demand. The next two types are purchases and <br />sales, where the demand and energy may be scheduled on an hourly, monthly, or <br />time-of-use basis, and price is specified for each of these transactions. <br /> <br />Each generating unit of the utilities in the study was modeled as one of these six types <br />of units. Operating, emergency, and reserve capacities were modeled for each <br />generating unit. Two additional factors affected the modeling of the individual <br />generating units: the percentage of the unit owned by the utility being modeled and an <br />option for NDTs where units can be grouped together. Other input data needed to <br />model each unit included heat rate curves, loading blocks, forced outage rates, <br />maintenance schedules, design capacity factor, energy limitations, storage efficiency, <br />charging capacity (storage units). and utilization factors. <br /> <br />Costs associated with generating units are divided into two categories: fixed and <br />variable. Fixed costs include capital installation costs, levelized carrying charges, and <br />fixed operation and maintenance costs. Variable costs represent the direct expenses <br />of generating energy, including fuel costs and variable operation and maintenance <br />costs. Actual production cost information was used for existing generating units. For <br />planned units, cost data were taken from the utilities' existing expansion plans. For <br />alternative expansion plans, including those using pumped storage, generic plant <br />characteristics and cost data were used. (Assumptions for the pumped storage <br />facilities are provided in Section 2.4.) <br /> <br />For the base case analyses, future generation facilities that would meet load growth <br />and reserve requirements at the lowest cost were identified. Currently planned <br />additions were utilized first in the program's selection of alternatives. Using a dynamic <br />program algorithm that evaluated thousands of different combinations of alternatives <br />over the study period through comparisons of cumulative present worth values, the <br />EGEAS program then optimized the mix of types of future generation resources to <br />select the most economic expansion plan. For each year the model computes the total <br />annual system costs (fixed capacity costs--cost of money, depreciation, income taxes, <br />property taxes and insurance--related to future plant investments, fixed and variable <br />operation and maintenance costs, and fuel costs). Financial criteria, load forecasts, <br />planned generation resources, heat rates, (a measure of a thermal power plant's <br />efficiency), fuel costs and other pertinent data were carefully treated to assure <br />consistency with actual conditions and practices in Colorado. In constraining the <br />2-2 <br />