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14 <br /> Aa The Economic Importance of Water in Kansas <br /> • The potential total economic losses associated with GMD3's reduced estimated water availability in <br /> the study areas in CY2062 compared with unconstrained water availability and trend economic <br /> growth in Kansas is detailed in the following Table. <br /> Estimated Economic Losses by Area Associated with the Constrained Water Scenario for the State of <br /> Kansas in CY2062 <br /> GROSS STATE <br /> EMPLOYMENT LABOR INCOME <br /> GEOGRAPHY PRODUCT <br /> lob Years Billions 2015$ <br /> Billions 2015$ <br /> Area 1 2.5 38,441 1.3 <br /> Area 2 1.4 20,116 0.7 <br /> Area 3 10.4 123,961 5.3 <br /> Area 4 2.6 36,842 1.4 <br /> Area 5 1.4 21,348 0.7 <br /> Area 6 - - - <br /> Area 7 - - - <br /> Total Estimated Economic Losses 18.3 240,708 9.4 <br /> Source:Apparet Analytics <br /> • The potential economic losses for five of the study areas is estimated to range from $1.4 billion GSP <br /> for Areas 2 and 5 to$10.4 billion GSP for Area 3 in CY2062(both 2015 $). <br /> • Two of the study areas are not estimated to suffer any economic losses,as GMD3 does not anticipate <br /> reduced water availability in the areas by CY2062. <br /> • An estimated $18.3 billion (2015 $) in GSP could be lost in the State of Kansas in CY2062 compared <br /> with the baseline if GMD3's constrained water scenario in Areas 1-5 is realized. This equates to a loss <br /> of approximately 10.1%GSP for the State as a whole in CY2062. <br /> • Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting ($3.6 billion) and Real Estate and Rental ($3 billion) are <br /> estimated to experience the greatest shortfalls in statewide GSP contributions if GMD3's CY2062 <br /> water availability estimates for the seven study areas hold true(both 2015$). <br /> • Government and non-NAICs; Health and Social Services; Wholesale Trade; Transportation and <br /> Warehousing;and Professional,Scientific and Technical Services are also estimated to each contribute <br /> over$1 billon less(2015$)to the State economy under GMD3's constrained water scenario in CY2062. <br /> • Almost 241,000 public and private sector jobs would not be created statewide if GMD3's reduced <br /> water availability scenario holds true in Areas 1-5 in CY2062. These estimated job losses could equate <br /> to a$9.4 billion (2015$) loss in statewide labor income in CY2062. <br /> Apparet Analytics LLC 2015 <br />