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Mr. David Getches <br /> Page Three <br /> • <br /> projects in the basin, encompassing over one million acre-feet in <br /> depletions . ) <br /> We were disturbed to find, however, that the subcommittee's <br /> assessment of the effects of future depletions on the river <br /> system's flow regime did not account for the depletions that <br /> would take place upon completion of the projects for which sec- <br /> tion 7 consultations are pending or recently have been completed. <br /> Instead, the subcommittee apparently made a political judgment <br /> of which projects are likely to be operating within fifteen to <br /> twenty years, and considered only those projects. Thus, the <br /> subcommittee's conclusion that "changes in the flow regime be- <br /> tween now and the year 2000 will be small and insignificant" is <br /> irrelevant to examination, in the context of a section 7 consul- <br /> tation, of a specific water project's impacts on the fish species. <br /> The Fish and Wildlife Service can not, in carrying out its <br /> responsibilities under the Act, weigh the likelihood of a pro- <br /> ject's actual use of water. Instead, the agency must examine the <br /> potential effects of water development projects on the species' <br /> habitat requirements and must, on that basis, determine whether a <br /> proposed action is likely to jeopardize the continued existence <br /> of the species. If the answer*is in the affirmative, the Service <br /> must issue a jeopardy opinion. <br /> While a judgment about the future may be a valid element of • <br /> an effort to fashion a long-term . - • • - <br /> has no place in an ongoi • - - • - Lion 7 consultations. <br /> Indeed, permitting the Service to engage in such speculation <br /> would be tantamount to gambling with the extinction of the endan- <br /> gered fishes of the Colorado River. <br /> * If jeopardy is found, the Service is to suggest those reason- <br /> able and prudent alternatives that could be taken by the appli- <br /> cant to avoid the jeopardy finding. The Service also has the <br /> flexibility to issue nonjeopardy opinions that permit reinitia- <br /> tion of consultation if new information suggests that endangered <br /> species might be threatened. Such an alternative could be part- <br /> icularly useful for multistage projects and in cases where actual <br /> development will not occur for a number of years after consulta- <br /> tion is initiated. Long lag times between consultation and <br /> development has been an especially prevalent problem on the <br /> Colorado River. It is highly likely that biological and hydrolo- <br /> gical conditions will change over a period of decades. Issuance <br /> of biological opinions conditioned upon reinitiation of consulta- <br /> tion once a project becomes a reality may represent a reasonable <br /> response to the uncertainty that surrounds projects of this kind. <br /> Nevertheless, the threshold inquiry is, and must continue to be, <br /> whether a proposed project will jeopardize the continued exist- <br /> ence of the endangered fish species. <br />