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U <br /> Report of The Colorado State Auditor 19 <br /> Developing accurate forecasting methods is integral to managing the Program in an <br /> P g <br /> effective manner now and in the future. Estimating an ideal amount of cash for the <br /> Fund and maintaining a level where receipts equal the demand for project funding <br /> will allow the General Assembly to accurately assess the funding necessary to meet <br /> the needs of the Program. <br /> Recommendation No. 2: <br /> The Water Conservation Board should improve its methods for estimating the <br /> receipts and disbursements associated with the Construction Fund Loan Program. <br /> The Board should also assess the effectiveness of its marketing efforts and determine <br /> if the demand for the Program is being met with the existing level of receipts. If the <br /> demand is being met,the Board should work with the General Assembly to make the <br /> statutory changes needed to reduce the cash balance of the Construction Fund. <br /> Water Conservation Board Response: <br /> Agree. The CWCB staff will incorporate consideration of the Severance Tax <br /> funds and current interest rates in the next revision to the Long-Term <br /> Financial Projection by January 1, 1999. Although the basic methods used <br /> in estimating revenues, fund balance, and needs are sound, there are many <br /> assumptions and predictions that must be made in applying these methods <br /> (e.g., interest rates and construction schedules). These factors are expected <br /> to illuminate a variety of policy issues,including the desired duration of the <br /> funding assistance and the committed and uncommitted cash balance needed <br /> to serve the existing and future purposes of the Fund. These issues deserve <br /> further consideration by the Board and the interested constituencies before <br /> further legislative direction is considered. Revision of the Long-Term <br /> Financial Projection has been delayed for over a year based upon interest <br /> expressed by the Board and many legislators in conducting regional water <br /> supply planning meetings around the State to test our forecasting of future <br /> project needs. <br /> It is important to note, however, that the demand for funding to develop <br /> Colorado's water resources is increasing. The future need for funds to <br /> develop Colorado's water resources is demonstrated by recent studies by the <br /> CWCB, the Colorado Farm Bureau, and the support for HB 98-1288 (the <br /> proposed Water Resources Act of 1988, which was postponed indefinitely, <br /> but is expected back next session). The proponents of HB 98-1288 estimated <br /> that as much as $100 million might be needed to motivate the necessary <br /> I <br /> I <br />