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MODEL OPERATIONAL SCENARIOS <br />SUPPLY SIDE SCENARIOS <br />The Supply Side Scenario (SS Scenario) model for Snowmass Creek operates <br />the District's water rights as well as the downstream (non-District) water rights based on <br />their relative priority and decreed amounts. The model determines the maximum flow <br />legally and physically available from Snowmass Creek under the District's municipal <br />water rights. The District's water rights that have not been transferred to or decreed for <br />municipal uses were excluded from the model. Water calls from the main stem of the <br />Roaring Fork River and the Colorado River are not modeled. <br />The following three Supply Side Scenarios were initially used to account for non- <br />District diversions on Snowmass Creek that can reduce the diversions of or call out the <br />District's water rights in times of stream flow shortage: <br />1. Historic Dry Year Non-District Diversions; <br />2. Average Monthly Non-District Diversions; and <br />3. Maximum Monthly Non-District Diversions. <br />At the District's direction, Wheeler has only included Maximum Non-District <br />Diversions (Maximum Diversion) in the results and discussion sections of this <br />memorandum. A detailed description of this scenario is provided in the following <br />paragraph. <br />Maximum Monthly Non-District Diversions. The Maximum Non-District <br />Diversions is based on the monthly diversion records at each Snowmass Creek structure <br />for the 1990 — 2004 period. The maximum historic diversions at each structure for each <br />month (i.e. in June) were determined using data obtained from Colorado State Decision <br />Support System's HydroBase database. These diversion rates are used as a maximum <br />diversion limit for each diversion structure. The maximum historic diversions at each <br />structure were distributed among the water rights that divert at said structure starting <br />with the most senior and working toward the junior. The Maximum Diversion amounts <br />Page 14 <br />