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.ij T <br />DRAFT Market Study Lake Nighthorse <br />Table of Contents <br />ExecutiveSummary .......................................................................................... ............................... 4 <br />Market Size and Characteristics ....................................................................... ............................... 7 <br />Recreation Travel Tolerances ...................................................................... ............................... 7 <br />Defining the Markets Geographically .......................................................... ............................... 8 <br />Local and Regional Population ................................................................. ............................... 8 <br />TouristVisitation .................................................................................... ............................... 10 <br />ParticipationRates ....................................................................................... .............................11 <br />ParticipantDemographics .......................................................................... ............................... 12 <br />Market Potential - Recreation at Lake Nighthorse ........................................ ............................... 17 <br />Local and Regional Resident User -Days for Reservoir -Based Activities ...... .............................17 <br />Local and Regional Market Participants .................................................. .............................17 <br />Market Crossover and Multi -Use Days .................................................. ............................... 18 <br />Local and Regional User -Day Leakage ....................................................... ............................... 20 <br />TouristParticipation .................................................................................. ............................... 23 <br />TrailUse .................................................................................................... ............................... 24 <br />LocalPopulation ..................................................................................... ............................... 24 <br />TouristPopulation .................................................................................. ............................... 24 <br />Secondary -Use Population ..................................................................... ............................... 24 <br />MarketCompetition .................................................................................. ............................... 25 <br />Developed Camping Competition .......................................................... ............................... 26 <br />Total Market Share for Lake Nighthorse ........................................................ ............................... 28 <br />Comparable Lake User - Days ...................................................................... ............................... 30 <br />Future Projected User -Days at Lake Nighthorse ........................................... ............................... 31 <br />Future Growth in Regional Participants ..................................................... ............................... 31 <br />Future Growth in the Tourism Market ...................................................... ............................... 32 <br />Combined User -Day Projections ................................................................ ............................... 33 <br />Pricepoint study ............................................................................................ ............................... 34 <br />Reservoir -Based Special Events ..................................................................... ............................... 36 <br />Profiles: Ironman Triathlon and Collegiate Fishing Tournament ............... ............................... 36 <br />Appendix A- Price Point Survey ..................................................................... ............................... 38 <br />List of Figures <br />Figure 1- User -Day Summary .................... ............................... <br />Figure 3- Comparable Reservoir Usage ... ............................... <br />Figure 4- Projected User -Days Through 2025 .......................... <br />Figure 5 - Drive Tolerances for Colorado Recreation Outings <br />v <br />RPI <br />...................... ............................... 4 <br />...................... ............................... 6 <br />...................... ............................... 6 <br />...................... ............................... 7 <br />2 <br />