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Table of Contents <br />ExecutiveSummary ....................................................................................................................... ............................... iii <br />Tableof Contents ............................................................................................................................. ............................... v <br />Aboutthe Authors ......................................................................................................................... ............................... vii <br />Acknowledgements...................................................................................................................... ............................... viii <br />1. Introduction and Objectives ...................................................................................................... <br />............................... <br />l <br />1.1. Introduction and Background ............................................................................................ <br />............................... <br />1.2. Objectives and Organization ............................................................................................... <br />..............................3 <br />2. Effects of Forest Management on Runoff .................................................................................. <br />..............................5 <br />2.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ <br />..............................5 <br />2.2. Effects of Changes in the Forest Canopy on Runoff .......................................................... <br />..............................6 <br />2.2.1. Overall water balance ............................................................................................. <br />..............................6 <br />2.2.2. Timing of an increase in runoff .............................................................................. <br />..............................8 <br />2.2.3. Causes and variability of water yield increases after forest harvest ........................ ..............................8 <br />2.2.4. Rate of hydrologic recovery ................................................................................... <br />.............................11 <br />2.2.5. Effects of vegetation change on the size of peak flows ......................................... <br />.............................13 <br />2.2.6. Effects of vegetation change on low flows . ........................................................... <br />.............................14 <br />2.3. Effects of Roads on Runoff .............................................................................................. <br />.............................15 <br />...................................................... ............................... <br />2.4. Effect of Fires on Runoff ............ <br />........••••••.."......••••..17 <br />2.5. Threshold of Response, Spatial Scaling, and the Detectability of a Change in Flows <br />...... .............................18 <br />3. Effects of Forest Management Activities and Fire on Water Quality ....................................... .............................21 <br />3.1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................... .............................21 <br />3.2. Erosion and Sedimentation ................................................................................................ .............................21 <br />3.2.1. Roads ..................................................................................................................... .............................23 <br />3.3. Stream Temperature ........................................................................................................... .............................26 <br />3.4. Nutrients ............................................................................................................................ .............................27 <br />3.5. Fertilization ........................................................................................................................ .............................27 <br />3.6. Prescribed Fire and Wildfire .............................................................................................. .............................27 <br />4. Historic and Projected Changes in Runoff ............................................................................... .............................30 <br />4.1. Natural and Anthropogenic Effects on Forests and Water Yields ...................................... .............................30 <br />4.1.1. Effects of climatic fluctuations and climate changes on forests and runoff ........... .............................31 <br />4.1.2. Historic changes in fire regimes ............................................................................. .............................32 <br />4.1.3. Changes in forest structure over time ..................................................................... .............................35 <br />4.1.4. Timber harvest rates on national forest lands ......................................................... .............................38 <br />4.1.5. Fuel treatments and water yields from national forest lands ................................. .............................42 <br />4.1.6. Grazing ................................................................................................................... .............................44 <br />4.1.7. Insects, disease, and other abiotic disturbances ...................................................... .............................45 <br />Effects of Past, Present and Future Forest Management on Water Quality .............................. .............................47 <br />5.1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................... .............................47 <br />5.2. Historic Trends in Water ualit 47 <br />5.3. Timber Harvest, Roads, and Grazing ............................................................................ ............................... <br />5.4. Fire and Water Quality .................................................................................................................................... 48 <br />5.5. Climate Change and Water Quality ................................................................................. ............................... <br />v <br />