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At Wagon Wheel Gap, for example, the average annual <br />precipitation is only 21 inches, the mean pre - treatment <br />water yield was 6.1 inches, and clearing one of the <br />two catchments increased annual water yields by an <br />average of only one inch. At Fool Creek in the Fraser <br />Experimental Forest the average annual precipitation is <br />approximately 26 inches, the average annual runoff prior <br />to harvest was 8.7 inches, and the average increase in <br />flow from cutting 50% of the vegetation or 40% of the <br />watershed was 3.1 in, or approximately three times the <br />value observed at Wagon Wheel Gap. The water yield <br />increases obtained from other watershed experiments <br />in the FEF and Coon Creek in south - central Wyoming <br />are quite consistent, as they are in similar forest types <br />and exhibit similar hydrologic behavior. There is greater <br />variation in the increases in runoff measured from the <br />paired- watershed studies at Beaver Creek, as there is <br />more variation among these watersheds and they ex- <br />hibit greater variability in the processes controlling the <br />amount and timing of runoff (Baker, 1986). <br />In summary, a certain amount of evaporation will occur <br />independent of the vegetative cover. Until annual pre- <br />cipitation exceeds this threshold, a change in vegetation <br />generally will have no effect on annual water yields as <br />long as the basic runoff processes are not changed (e.g., <br />the infiltration rate and soil moisture storage capacity are <br />not altered by compaction, paving, or soil erosion). <br />As annual precipitation exceeds this threshold, the veg- <br />etation plays an increasingly important role in the water <br />balance equation by intercepting rain and snow and <br />transpiring water. An increase or decrease in the density <br />of the vegetation cover — as indexed by basal area or leaf <br />area — will have a corresponding effect on runoff. Both <br />equation 2 and paired- watershed studies in the Rocky <br />Mountains show that the threshold for forest manage- <br />ment to affect water yields is approximately 18 -19 <br />inches, and this threshold corresponds with the threshold <br />of 18 -20 inches suggested by Bosch and Hewlett (1982) <br />(Figure 2.2). <br />The only way to reliably increase water yields in areas <br />that receive less than 18 -19 inches of annual precipita- <br />tion is to reduce infiltration by paving or other land sur- <br />face treatments and collecting the resulting runoff. <br />2.2.2. Timing of an increase in runoff. <br />The timing of an increase in water yield depends on the <br />timing of soil moisture recharge. In environments with <br />dry summers and wet rainy winters, most of the water <br />yield increase after forest clearing shows up in the fall <br />and early winter because the reduction in summer tran- <br />spiration causes the soils to be wetter at the beginning of <br />the rainy season (e.g., Harr et al., 1975; Ziemer, 1981). <br />Hence less rain is needed to recharge the soil and ground- <br />water at the beginning of the wet season, and more of the <br />initial rainfall in the winter wet season is converted into <br />runoff. Later in the winter the proportional increases in <br />runoff are much smaller, as once the soil is recharged <br />the presence or absence of trees will primarily affect the <br />amount of rain lost to interception. While annual inter- <br />ception losses in coniferous forests are generally in the <br />range of 20 -30% (Dunne and Leopold, 1978), the per- <br />centage of rainfall lost to interception during large storm <br />events is much less (Zinke, 1967). Hence an increase or <br />decrease in the density of the forest vegetation has a pro- <br />portionally smaller effect on runoff once the soils have <br />been fully recharged. <br />In snow - dominated areas the basic water balance equa- <br />tion still applies, but there are some important differ- <br />ences with respect to the timing of the observed water <br />yield increases. In Colorado nearly all of the water yield <br />increase occurs in early spring, and the difference in the <br />timing of the water yield increase is due primarily to the <br />difference in the timing of soil moisture recharge. As <br />in rain - dominated areas, removal of the forest canopy <br />results in less soil water depletion during the summer, <br />so less water is needed for soil moisture recharge and <br />more of the early snowmelt is converted into runoff. The <br />removal of the forest canopy also increases the rate of <br />spring snowmelt, so the increased snowpack typically <br />does not extend the duration of spring snowmelt. The net <br />result is that in snowmelt- dominated areas the increase <br />in runoff due to forest harvest occurs primarily in spring, <br />on the rising limb of the snowmelt hydrograph, rather <br />than in the fall and early winter. This pattern is clearly <br />shown by comparing the average annual hydrographs <br />prior to and after timber harvest for the snowmelt -domi- <br />nated Fool Creek watershed on the Fraser Experimental <br />Forest (Figure 2.3). Month -by -month comparisons of <br />the pre- and post- treatment flows for Fool Creek confirm <br />that May is the only month with a consistent, statisti- <br />cally- significant increase in runoff (Troendle and King, <br />1985). A significant increase in June runoff can occur <br />in places where, or years when, peak snowmelt occurs <br />slightly later in the year (Troendle et al., 2001). As dis- <br />cussed in section 2.2.5, an increase in soil moisture after <br />timber harvest has no detectable effect on low flows in <br />Colorado. <br />2.2.3. Causes and variability of water yield increases <br />after forest harvest. <br />In most forested areas the primary effect of forest harvest <br />or afforestation is to alter the amount of growing season <br />