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An emergency was determined for water quality degradation. The <br />probability of loss is Very likely and the magnitude of <br />consequence is Major. Therefore, the risk is Very High. <br />Flood Hazard <br />The flood hazard is predicted to increase dramatically within and immediately downstream of the <br />burn area. An emergency for flood hazard was determined for the following reasons: <br />• Runoff is predicted to increase significantly following the fire. <br />• There are a high number of residents and recreationists in the area resulting in high <br />numbers of people exposed. <br />• High traffic roads with drainage structures including Colorado Highway 14 and County <br />Roads 27, 52E, 25E, 44H and 63E. <br />• There is substantial risk to life and property resulting from the increased flood risk. <br />The probability of loss is Very likely and the magnitude of <br />consequence is Major. Therefore, the risk is Very High. <br />Debris Flow Hazard <br />The debris flow hazard is expected to increase significantly in the years following the fire. An <br />emergency for debris flows was determined for the following reasons: <br />• There are a high number residents and recreationists in the area resulting in high <br />numbers of people exposed. <br />• The infrastructure in the area in not adequate to handle the increases in flow and <br />sediment predicted. <br />• Debris across the roads in the area could result in large numbers of people being cut off <br />from emergency services, possibly for long periods of time. <br />• There is substantial risk to life and property resulting from the increased debris flow risk. <br />The probability of loss is Very likely and the magnitude of <br />consequence is Major. Therefore, the risk is Very High. <br />Road Washout Hazard <br />The road wash out hazard is expected to increase significantly in the near future. An emergency <br />for roads washing out was determined for the following reasons: <br />• There is substantial risk to life and property resulting from the increased debris flow risk. <br />• The current transportation system is not expected to handle the predicted flood flow <br />increases and sediment loads. <br />• Roads washing out in the area could result in large numbers of people being cut off from <br />emergency services, possibly for long periods of time. <br />The probability of loss is Very likely and the magnitude of <br />consequence is Major. Therefore, the risk is Very High. <br />High Park Fire Emergency Stabilization Plan Page 12 <br />