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Table S -2. BAER Risk Assessment <br />Probability <br />of Damage <br />or Loss <br />Magnitude of Consequences <br />Major <br />Moderate <br />Minor <br />RISK <br />Very Likely <br />' <br />Low <br />Likely <br />_. <br />tagh <br />Low <br />Possible <br />Intermediate <br />Low <br />Unlikely <br />Intermediate <br />Low <br />Very Low <br />Probability of Damage or Loss: The following descriptions provide a <br />framework to estimate the relative probability that damage or loss would <br />occur within one to three years (depending on the resource): <br />• Very likely - nearly certain occurrence ( >90 %) <br />• Likely - likely occurrence ( >50% to < 90 %) <br />• Possible- possible occurrence ( >10% to <50 %) <br />• Unlikely- unlikely occurrence ( <10 %) <br />Magnitude of Consequences: <br />• Major - Loss of life or injury to humans; substantial property damage; <br />irreversible damage to critical natural or cultural resources. <br />• Moderate - Injury or illness to humans; moderate property damage; <br />damage to critical natural or cultural resources resulting in <br />considerable or long term effects. <br />• Minor - Property damage is limited in economic value and /or to few <br />investments; damage to natural or cultural resources resulting in <br />minimal, recoverable or localized effects. <br />Source: Forest Service Manual 2523 — Emergency Stabilization — Burned Area Emergency <br />Response (BAER) - Interim Directive, 2012 <br />High Park Fire Emergency Stabilization Plan Page S -3 <br />