• Develop next generation network architectures for real-
<br />Key research requirements:
<br />time data sharing from distributed sensors
<br />• Encourage investment in developing-, modeling; and
<br />Major technology investments: = --
<br />monitoring impacts of cost - effective and beneficial miti-
<br />gation technologies
<br />,J Deploy anintegrated, reliable information infrastructure
<br />• Continue development of smart structural systems that
<br />that provides real -time access to data and models for
<br />_ detect and respond to changes in structure and infra-
<br />r
<br />- " hazard analysis, consequence %recasting, and rapid de-
<br />-- structure condition and that predict failure
<br />tection of negative outcomes
<br />• Continue development -of new materials and cost-
<br />Develop universally" adopted standards for data sharing
<br />- effective technologies to retrofit existing inventory of
<br />`
<br />to speed transfer of information
<br />buildings, bridges, and other lifeline structures -.
<br />• Incorporate geographical location data into systems that_
<br />• Create integrated" all-hazards_ methodologies for engi-
<br />provide real -time, -high quality, integrated social and
<br />neered systems -
<br />environmental inform_ ation for emergency response pur-
<br />poses - -
<br />Grand Challenge " #4- Recognize and reduce vulnerabil-
<br />ity of interdependent critical_ infrastructure. Protecting
<br />Grand Challenge #2— Understand the natural processes
<br />critical infrastructure systems, or lifelines, is- essential to
<br />that produce hazards.- To improve forecasting and pre-
<br />developing disaster- resilient communities. To be success -
<br />- diction, scientists and engineers -must continue to pursue
<br />ful, scientists'and communities must identify and address
<br />basic research on the natural processes that produce haz- _
<br />the interdependencies of "these lifelines at a systems level
<br />ards and understand how and when natural processes be-
<br />(e.g. communications, electricity, financial, gas, sewage,
<br />come hazardous. New data must be collected and incorpo-
<br />transportation, and water) with . input from scientists and
<br />rated into advanced and validated models that- support'an
<br />engineers. Using integrated models of interdependent sys-
<br />im p roved understanding of underlying natural system
<br />terns, additional vulnerabilities can be identified and then ;
<br />processes, including the damage caused by wind and in-
<br />addressed. Protecting critical infrastructure provides ,a-
<br />- undation, and enhance assessment of the impacts.
<br />solid foundation.from which the community can respond
<br />- - =
<br />- to hazards rapidly and effectively. _
<br />Key research requirements:
<br />• Continue and improve data collection and observations
<br />Key research requirements:,'
<br />of hazard - related processes
<br />• Develop improved assessment methods for analyzing the
<br />• Develop and improve forecasting models and visualiza-
<br />vulnerability and interdependence of infrastructure sys - -
<br />- tion techniques to provide timely and accurate- informa-
<br />tems
<br />tion - on the occurrence of hazardous events, cone- -_
<br />•' Develop innovative assessment models for emergency '
<br />quences, and - immediate steps that should: be taken to =
<br />response procedures, including addressing all threats to
<br />reduce impacts '" ._ - J__
<br />public health rapidly and effectively -
<br />• Improve methods for validating these models
<br />- .-
<br />• Create and accelerate improvements in models of physi-
<br />Major technology investments: -
<br />_ cal, chemical, and biological processes to "enable a_
<br />• Develop information acquisition systems that can be
<br />greater understanding of hazard interdependencies, pre-
<br />used to validate evaluation of resilience and response-
<br />-
<br />dictive pattern, impacts, -and cumulative effects on life,
<br />• Identify and deploy cost- effective technologies "that en-
<br />property, and the environment
<br />sure survivability of critical utilities and other infra-
<br />structures >
<br />Major technology investments:
<br />-
<br />• Expand and improve the network that provides access to
<br />Grand Challenge #5— Assess disaster resilience using.,
<br />computational and simulation resources- 'necessary for
<br />standard methods. Federal agencies must work with uni-
<br />analysis and prediction
<br />versities, local governments, and the private sector to
<br />-
<br />identify effective standards ' and metrics for assessing dis-
<br />' Grand Challenge #3— Develop hazard mitigation strate-
<br />aster resilience. With consistent factors and regularly up-
<br />' gies and technologies. To prevent or-reduce damage from
<br />dated metrics, _communities will be able to maintain report-
<br />natural hazards, scientists must invent —and communities
<br />cards- that accurately assess the community's relative level
<br />-
<br />must implement -- affordable and effective hazard mitiga-
<br />of disaster resilience. Validated models, standards, and
<br />\.tion _ strategies, including_ land use planning and zoning
<br />metrics _are needed for estimating cumulative- losses, pro
<br />laws that recognize the risks of natural hazards. The scien-
<br />jecting the impact of changes in technology and policies,
<br />- -
<br />tific and -engineering community can contribute - to devel-
<br />and monitoring the overall l estimated - economic loss avoid-
<br />oping such strategies and work with to turn
<br />ante of planned- action_ s:
<br />- research into practice. In addition, technologies such as
<br />_
<br />disaster- resilient design and materials and smart structures
<br />Key research requirements:
<br />f that respond to changing conditions must be used for de-
<br />• Establish methods and standards fox evaluation of-resil-
<br />velopment in hazardous areas.
<br />J fence to hazards to _include economic, ecological, end
<br />J
<br />technological consequences.of disasters
<br />• Use standard °methods to gauge improvement in resil-
<br />ience following investments in planning and mitigation -
<br />\ Natural Hazards Observer November 2005
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