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• Develop next generation network architectures for real- <br />Key research requirements: <br />time data sharing from distributed sensors <br />• Encourage investment in developing-, modeling; and <br />Major technology investments: = -- <br />monitoring impacts of cost - effective and beneficial miti- <br />gation technologies <br />,J Deploy anintegrated, reliable information infrastructure <br />• Continue development of smart structural systems that <br />that provides real -time access to data and models for <br />_ detect and respond to changes in structure and infra- <br />r <br />- " hazard analysis, consequence %recasting, and rapid de- <br />-- structure condition and that predict failure <br />tection of negative outcomes <br />• Continue development -of new materials and cost- <br />Develop universally" adopted standards for data sharing <br />- effective technologies to retrofit existing inventory of <br />` <br />to speed transfer of information <br />buildings, bridges, and other lifeline structures -. <br />• Incorporate geographical location data into systems that_ <br />• Create integrated" all-hazards_ methodologies for engi- <br />provide real -time, -high quality, integrated social and <br />neered systems - <br />environmental inform_ ation for emergency response pur- <br />poses - - <br />Grand Challenge " #4- Recognize and reduce vulnerabil- <br />ity of interdependent critical_ infrastructure. Protecting <br />Grand Challenge #2— Understand the natural processes <br />critical infrastructure systems, or lifelines, is- essential to <br />that produce hazards.- To improve forecasting and pre- <br />developing disaster- resilient communities. To be success - <br />- diction, scientists and engineers -must continue to pursue <br />ful, scientists'and communities must identify and address <br />basic research on the natural processes that produce haz- _ <br />the interdependencies of "these lifelines at a systems level <br />ards and understand how and when natural processes be- <br />(e.g. communications, electricity, financial, gas, sewage, <br />come hazardous. New data must be collected and incorpo- <br />transportation, and water) with . input from scientists and <br />rated into advanced and validated models that- support'an <br />engineers. Using integrated models of interdependent sys- <br />im p roved understanding of underlying natural system <br />terns, additional vulnerabilities can be identified and then ; <br />processes, including the damage caused by wind and in- <br />addressed. Protecting critical infrastructure provides ,a- <br />- undation, and enhance assessment of the impacts. <br />solid foundation.from which the community can respond <br />- - = <br />- to hazards rapidly and effectively. _ <br />Key research requirements: <br />• Continue and improve data collection and observations <br />Key research requirements:,' <br />of hazard - related processes <br />• Develop improved assessment methods for analyzing the <br />• Develop and improve forecasting models and visualiza- <br />vulnerability and interdependence of infrastructure sys - - <br />- tion techniques to provide timely and accurate- informa- <br />tems <br />tion - on the occurrence of hazardous events, cone- -_ <br />•' Develop innovative assessment models for emergency ' <br />quences, and - immediate steps that should: be taken to = <br />response procedures, including addressing all threats to <br />reduce impacts '" ._ - J__ <br />public health rapidly and effectively - <br />• Improve methods for validating these models <br />- .- <br />• Create and accelerate improvements in models of physi- <br />Major technology investments: - <br />_ cal, chemical, and biological processes to "enable a_ <br />• Develop information acquisition systems that can be <br />greater understanding of hazard interdependencies, pre- <br />used to validate evaluation of resilience and response- <br />- <br />dictive pattern, impacts, -and cumulative effects on life, <br />• Identify and deploy cost- effective technologies "that en- <br />property, and the environment <br />sure survivability of critical utilities and other infra- <br />structures > <br />Major technology investments: <br />- <br />• Expand and improve the network that provides access to <br />Grand Challenge #5— Assess disaster resilience using., <br />computational and simulation resources- 'necessary for <br />standard methods. Federal agencies must work with uni- <br />analysis and prediction <br />versities, local governments, and the private sector to <br />- <br />identify effective standards ' and metrics for assessing dis- <br />' Grand Challenge #3— Develop hazard mitigation strate- <br />aster resilience. With consistent factors and regularly up- <br />' gies and technologies. To prevent or-reduce damage from <br />dated metrics, _communities will be able to maintain report- <br />natural hazards, scientists must invent —and communities <br />cards- that accurately assess the community's relative level <br />- <br />must implement -- affordable and effective hazard mitiga- <br />of disaster resilience. Validated models, standards, and <br />\.tion _ strategies, including_ land use planning and zoning <br />metrics _are needed for estimating cumulative- losses, pro <br />laws that recognize the risks of natural hazards. The scien- <br />jecting the impact of changes in technology and policies, <br />- - <br />tific and -engineering community can contribute - to devel- <br />and monitoring the overall l estimated - economic loss avoid- <br />oping such strategies and work with to turn <br />ante of planned- action_ s: <br />- research into practice. In addition, technologies such as <br />_ <br />disaster- resilient design and materials and smart structures <br />Key research requirements: <br />f that respond to changing conditions must be used for de- <br />• Establish methods and standards fox evaluation of-resil- <br />velopment in hazardous areas. <br />J fence to hazards to _include economic, ecological, end <br />J <br />technological consequences.of disasters <br />• Use standard °methods to gauge improvement in resil- <br />ience following investments in planning and mitigation - <br />\ Natural Hazards Observer November 2005 <br />2 <br />!. <br />