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it THE FUTURE OF MUNICIPAL WATER USE <br />by Peter Binney <br />City of Aurora Water Utilities <br />Iam going to talk about water supply uncertainty from the <br />municipal perspective. I want to try to put in context a lot of <br />the rhetoric and hyperbole that you hear about when cities are <br />planning their future water development programs. What does <br />the future hold for municipal water suppliers along the Front <br />Range? It all depends — it depends on where you are located in <br />the basin, it depends on what your water supplies include. <br />We have very diverse municipal water systems in the South <br />Platte basin: at one end of the spectrum, we have mature <br />regional water systems such as the Denver Water system <br />which has been established for over 100 years; and we have the <br />Colorado Big Thompson system. It happens that both of these <br />systems were developed before the environmental awareness of <br />the 1960s and the 1970s and include significant infrastructure <br />and reliable water rights portfolios. At the other end of the <br />spectrum you have metro districts and water and sanitation dis- <br />tricts, and this is where a lot of urban development is occurring <br />here in Colorado. These districts are primarily governmental <br />entities that were set up to provide access to local water sup- <br />plies, many of which are using the water resources in the Den- <br />ver Basin Aquifer. These entities have a major issue coming up <br />in the near future about how to continue to meet water demand <br />as the productivity of aquifer supplies are reduced because of <br />changing aquifer conditions. <br />Then you have the less developed integrated regional water <br />systems like Aurora. Aurora has been developing its water <br />system since the early 1950s when Denver Water pulled us <br />off their system. Significant investments in infrastructure and <br />water supply acquisition are needed to meet the demands of <br />these growing communities. These various water systems will <br />have different strategies as they compete for water to meet their <br />customers' needs for the future. <br />You have heard about the Three States Agreement. Not only <br />do we have increasing population and competition from the <br />water system users. We also have new users coming in to com- <br />pete for a fixed water supply. That can come from additional <br />demands for environmental benefits but also from an increas- <br />ing desire for instream recreational diversions. A lot of what <br />we're going to have to deal with is affected by how the State of <br />Colorado administers its water. <br />Population and water demand projections over the next 50 <br />Years illustrate some of the burdens we will have to deal with in <br />the South Platte. We can solve our problems this year and next <br />Year; we will come out of this drought. But as you go further <br />out, to 2030, 2040, 2050, you will see that some very signifi- <br />cant changes will have to occur in the basin. <br />Figure 1. Front Range and Colorado Population Growth. <br />We have to answer the core question, as we are responding to <br />this drought -- Why do we continue to have population growth? <br />Why do we continue to build if we can't meet the water supply <br />needs of our current customers? <br />Many of you have seen the snake diagram of annual river flows. <br />We see here in the South Platte, from the water resources man- <br />agement standpoint, probably the last place you would want <br />to put a population center in Colorado, but that is where urban <br />growth is centered. We ended up with all of our people in per- <br />haps one of the driest parts of the state. So, we have a classic <br />supply and demand problem. <br />Trans -basin diversions -- A lot of what we hear as municipali- <br />ties is the need for legislated basin -of -origin protection -- this <br />begs the question about the rights of cities to bring water into <br />the Front Range. That fact is certainly provided for in the <br />State's water rights administration codes. Figure 2 is a rep- <br />resentation of all the current diversions along the Continental <br />Divide that deliver water into the South Platte River basin <br />These trans -basin diversions, constructed and operated over the <br />last 100 years, have significantly modified the hydrology of the <br />South Platte River basin. I fully expect these diversions will <br />continue to operate and be expanded in the future. <br />Another thing we hear about is the absolute sanctity of agricul- <br />tural water uses and how they should be preserved and pro- <br />tected against transfers to municipal uses. Given the provisions <br />of the State's water rights administration codes and the property <br />rights aspects of water rights, it should be expected that trans- <br />fers of agricultural rights will continue to be a viable alternative <br />for meeting future water needs in the cities. One of the biggest <br />areas of urbanization being supported by conversion of agricul- <br />tural rights happens to be in the Colorado -Big Thomson system. <br />The Rocky Ford system is a canal system where Aurora has <br />23 <br />