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biological opinion30 for the Missouri River is 1.13 chicks fledged per pair for a <br />3 -year running average. Also, the following current recruitment rates on the <br />Platte River for various habitats over the last 10 years were discussed at the <br />September 2000 workshop. These are summarized data only to compare <br />current productivity on the Platte River to recommendations in the literature. <br />Sand pits managed by power districts =1.54 plover chicks fledged/ nest31 <br />(0.94 plover chicks fledged/pair)32 <br />Unmanaged sand pits = 1.07 plover chicks fledged/nest3l <br />River dredged islands = 0.62 plover chicks fledged/nest3l <br />Lower Platte managed sand pits =1.50 plover chicks fledged/pair <br />33 <br />Lower Platte unmanaged sand pits =1.04 plover chicks fledged/pair34 <br />Lower Platte River sandbars = 0.65 plover chicks fledged/pair35 <br />In 2000 and 2001, an index of lower Platte River productivity was generated by <br />using the number of pairs observed on the river during the summer airboat census, <br />and the number of fledglings observed on follow -up airboat surveys. The <br />estimated fledge rate for the river was 0.51 plover fledglings per pair in 2000 and <br />1.90 in 2001. The same methodology estimated 0.47 plover fledglings per pair at <br />sand pits along the lower Platte River in 2000 and 2.90 in 2002.36 <br />A recent paper published in 200037, suggests previous estimates of fledging <br />success are too low for population stability. Baseline models conducted by <br />Plissner and Haig show that the five piping plover populations in the Great Lakes <br />and Great Plains are unlikely to persist, given current reproductive rates and <br />30 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Biological Opinion on the Operation of the Missouri <br />River Main Stem Reservoir System, Operation and Maintenance of the Missouri River <br />Bank Stabilization and Navigation Project, and Operation of the Kansas River Reservoir <br />System. Submitted November 30, 2000, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Region 6, Denver, <br />Colorado and Region 3, Ft. Snelling, Minnesota, to U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, <br />Northwest Division, Portland, Oregon. 286 pp. + appendices. <br />31 Nebraska Public Power District data. <br />32 Central Nebraska Public Power & Irrigation District data. <br />33 Nebraska Game & Parks Commission data. <br />34 Nebraska Game & Parks Commission data for years 1984, 1986, 1990, 1993, 1994, <br />1997, and 1998. <br />35 Nebraska Game & Parks Commission Data for years 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, <br />1991, 1994, and 2001. <br />36 Marcus, J. F., C. E. Grell, and S. L. Finkbeiner. 2000. Tern and Plover Conservation <br />Partnership, Year 2000 Final Report. Unpublished report submitted to the Nebraska <br />Game & Parks Commission. 21 pp. and data for 2001 surveys provided by Jeff Marcus to <br />Jim Lutey on December 4, 2001. <br />37 Plissner, Jonathan H. and Susan M. Haig. 2000. Viability ofpiping plover Charadrius <br />melodus metapopulations. Biological Conservation 92:163 -173. <br />12 <br />