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From the Drought Scrapbook... <br />Drought won't <br />relent soon, <br />experts w arn <br />By Joey Bunch f _ / 5 /0, Z <br />Dcn Post EO*onmentl ro <br />FORT COLLINS — As rain fell <br />lightly on the plains and the snow <br />piled up in the mountains Wednes- <br />day, weather experts at a summit <br />said Colorado's drought isn't over <br />by a tong shot. <br />There's too much ground to <br />make up, they said. <br />Even if snow and rain come <br />down at a normal pace for the <br />next year, Denver Water's eight <br />reservoirs will still have only 75 <br />percent of their normal level, said <br />Rocky Wiley, the general planning <br />manager for the utility that serves <br />one -fourth of the state's water cus- <br />tomers, including 500.000 in Den- <br />ver. <br />Water restrictions in place this <br />summer aren't going away any- <br />time soon, he said. <br />"Unless something really good <br />or something really bad happens, <br />we're going to have to get used to <br />these-water restrictions for some <br />titf7e to come," he said, after ad- <br />drtssing about 200 scientists, pub - <br />lityu[f icials, educators and regula- <br />torssat the Colorado Drought Con - <br />fer'halce in Fort Collins. <br />The restriction last summer <br />leW, lawns, ballparks and golf <br />courses parched, with ban placed <br />ontsprinkters, as well as limits on <br />car,, washing, water fountain, <br />cletin sheets in hotels and free ice <br />water in restaurants. <br />Heavy water users will continue <br />to face surcharges for their overin- <br />dulgence until reservoirs regain 80 <br />ppee[�eceeat of their normal volume, <br />Wgey said. <br />pespite regular snowfalls since <br />September, reservoirs, on average, <br />are still more than half empty af- <br />ter three years of below average <br />sit wpacI <br />(reams and rivers lost nearly _ <br />o4-third of their flow this year as <br />Colorado sweated out a hot, dry <br />svppttmer when massive wildfires <br />rdtased rain clouds from the sky, <br />exberts said. <br />•26• <br />pr managers say the one <br />They learned for sure from <br />tate's worst drought in 50 <br />is that they can't regulate <br />pply on a year -to -year basis. <br />ead, they will begin saving <br />in the good times to brace <br />e bad. That means weaning <br />ideas tram such luxuries as <br />showers and lush gardens, <br />encouraging local and region - <br />Ihorlties that have plenty of <br />to share it with those that <br />other prognosticators who <br />at the conference agreed on <br />little, except the [utility of <br />ange forecasts. <br />us Wolter, a Colorado -based <br />spheric scientist with the Na- <br />Oceanic and Atmospheric <br />iislration, predicted a dry <br />Water supply <br />Denver Water, which <br />serves 25 percent of the <br />water customers in the state, <br />including about 500,000 in <br />Denver, gave these scenari- <br />os tot water storage in its <br />eight reservoirs. <br />2000 99"% of normal levels <br />2001 96% <br />2002 66 <br />if drought continues <br />2003 35.38% <br />2004 20% <br />9 weather Is normal <br />2003 75% <br />2004 85% <br />t1 weather is wet <br />2003 80% <br />(I hope you've already taken ',� <br />2004 100% <br />ytwr kids skiing,' he said. <br />ethers said historical trends <br />pointed to a welter- than -usual <br />year ahead, based on weather pat- <br />reaching new laws based on one <br />tuns and tree rings that have re <br />c tied droughts for centuries. <br />dry year. <br />'The system is not broken, its <br />late Engineer Hal Simpson said <br />just out of water," she said. <br />th public should turn to the power <br />to bring more stow : <br />State climatologist Roger Pielke <br />Sr. agreed that elected officials <br />Of prayer on <br />the winter. <br />shouldn't base long -term public poi - <br />11f we don't get a good (snow - <br />icy on poorly supported predic- <br />ps Al runoff next year, there won't <br />tion that the West is becoming per - <br />be. any outdoor water use on the : <br />manenlly dryer and hotter. <br />M is a ru! :-of- the -mill <br />saw Range next summer," be ! <br />drought so far," he said It's still a <br />The drought will get plenty of at- <br />re latively short-term drought, <br />which should be a wake -up (call) <br />tendon in the upcoming legislative <br />that it could ,tin get woke." <br />session, said state Rep. Diane <br />Hoppe. R- Sterling, chairwoman of <br />the House Agriculture, Livestock <br />and Natural Resources Commit- <br />tee. <br />Hoppe said that while the <br />drought can be a catalyst for <br />change in water management, r <br />stale leadership should resist far- <br />Snowpac <br />Brian Taylor <br />Record Staff Writer <br />While precipitation levels <br />in Colorado have increased in <br />the last two months, state offi- <br />cials warn the drought of 2002 <br />audits effects could be far <br />from over. <br />"It really is too early to tell <br />what kind of runoff we are <br />going to have next year, but a <br />big part of that runoff will be <br />going to deficiencies in stor- <br />age and in the groundwater <br />aquifer," said Assistant Divi- <br />sion Engineer Keith Kepler of <br />the Colorado Division of Water <br />Resources in Pueblo. <br />"The reservoirs are really <br />drawn down, and the ground- <br />water levels in alot of places <br />are down," he said. <br />On Tuesday, snowpack <br />telemetry stations in the <br />mountains above the Arkansas <br />Friday, Jom,ory K1, 2003 ,1y -r„wy, to Junto (Colo <br />a = opinion. <br />Key points impacting drought <br />Ucar Colorado's political resxnroirphilosophiesofnalional <br />f'olotad,�, tit *c., t` ,r ut r - t to d - d-ci- <br />e,ovirenmem< a nun n, li"cd Co.o ado <br />-oily denng this :urrent Ricer dcvelopment inciud•:: <br />drought bccau,c of sell- dcteaiinq t xed signal sups I to'Two <br />deci ,ions to delay dcveiopmcnt Forks: refusal to c onside, the <br />of the state'<surylus Colorado multiple adva n i ag es of high <br />River entitiementc Plea:c c - tram -basin stor.,ge alternatives: <br />side, the following key pni Ivnnlnation of the ,rated hal6 <br />• Although Colorado'. high . ,mpl,md Upper Gunnison Suidy <br />mountains and wet v nuts ,I Tram - hasin Storage option.: <br />to vide most of thc�wrcr fo, support for Upper Gunuisan's <br />oohwcstern states. Colorado is oxccsslve fish flow, and "not one <br />ironically the most vulnerable drop" policy: and promotion of <br />state during multi-year droughts: numerous inefficient, unproven <br />• Calomdo's current Colorado alternatives that avoid high smr- <br />Rivar lasses m California could age and beneficial use of Col. <br />support about four million pco- .,ado's wasted Colorado River <br />pie. These tragic state losses have entitlements: <br />been increasing since the 1960',, • As a last result of devastating <br />The west slope's steady comer- impacts from the current drought, <br />sion from irrigated farming to 58 of Colorado's 64 counties <br />tourism, coupled with Colorado's have wisely united to promote 10 <br />failure to capture its wet year fundamental water principles to <br />flood waters in high, off- channel correct Colorado's self- d"intic- <br />reservoirs are the major factors. live water development direction. <br />Most of Colorado's trans -basin Regrettably. these proposed prin- <br />storage opportunities for both ciples still give emphasis to <br />slopes are from its untapped unnecessary "last resort" type <br />Upper Gunnison Branch of the alternatives, while avoiding a <br />Colorado River; clear call for expedited develop- <br />• Colorado's legislature autho- ment of Colorado's superior <br />rued the Colorado Water Conser- trans -basin storage options for <br />[ion Board in 1937 to help long -term beneficial needs of <br />"plan, protect, and develop" Col- both slopes. <br />orado's threatened Colorado Riv- The enclosed Requests for <br />er entitlements for essential Stay. involving two landmark <br />drought and growth needs of Gunnison Water Court Cases, <br />future generations. The Board's, will give Colorado's Executive <br />aggressive development work and Legislative branches time to <br />from 1937 to 1971 is largely implement emergency measures <br />responsible for Colorado's exist- to correct Colorado's flawed Col - <br />ing high storage drought promic_ orado River development strate- <br />tion for both slopes; gy. For example, Colorado's <br />-Colorado's legislature created "overlooked" Water Resources <br />the Colorado Water Resources and Power Devidopmem Authod- <br />artd:PowerDevelttpmeirtAadrorf= °ip'tebvtV'expedite an- objective <br />ty in 1982, to further strengthen comparison of Colorado's Big <br />the state's Colorado River devel. Straw and Central Colorado Pro - <br />opment program. Unfortunately, ject trans -basin storage alterna- <br />the Authority's statewide water tives within a few months. The <br />planning, permitting, and con- Authority could also facilitate <br />struction financing work has been emergency permitting and co - <br />improperly limited to develop- struetion financing for the win n - <br />ment of small wastewater treat- ning project and its farsighted <br />ment plants; local, state, and federal partici- <br />• Since the mid- 1980's. Col- pants_ The drought has Col- <br />orado's politically appointed oredWs attention. <br />water leaders and consultants Dave Miller Staregic <br />have quietly followed the anti- WererPtw r, Palmerfate, CO. <br />k risinc, butt tiro <br />might <br />carton i i <br />River drainage eported j ero <br />re- have to go to storage, and that <br />cipitation 24 percent above the will draw on the amount of <br />historic daily average, and water available through diver - <br />snow water content 46 percent sion," Kepler said. <br />above average. Recent rains `Even if we get a lot of <br />at lower elevations have also snow, a lot of it will be <br />helped to increase stream absorbed by the hot <br />and levels in area reservoirs. The Surface Water Supply <br />Even with the moisture, Index released in October by <br />average annual totals are still the Colorado Division of Water <br />far below normal, according Resources shows the Arkansas <br />to Mark Svoboda of the River Basin to be better off <br />National Drought Mitigation than any other drainage in the <br />Center. state, but still below normal. <br />°For the January through Water Resource Engineer <br />October period, Arizona, Col- Keith Vander Horst said much <br />orado and California experi- of the weight of the ranking is <br />enced their driest such period because of the many large <br />on record," Svoboda said. reservoirs on the Arkansas <br />Even though there may be River. <br />water in streams and rivers in "Reservoir storage and <br />the Arkansas River Basin next stream flows. contribute 90 to <br />spring, Kepler said the 95 percent of the final index <br />amount of water available to calculation," he said. <br />water users may still be An exceptional snowpack <br />restricted. in the upcoming winter would <br />A lot of water is going to be required to bring the (sup- <br />not over <br />ply index) numbers back to a <br />normal range, because the soft <br />moisture profile is very low, <br />which will cause river flows to <br />reduce next spring.' <br />Vander Horst said recent <br />precipitation in the mountain <br />areas is helping. <br />"It's not to say the drought <br />is broken, but it has been <br />owing." <br />Drought takes <br />drastic toll <br />on harvest <br />Wheat production was <br />down 44 percent, com was <br />down 33 percent, hay was <br />down 22 percent and <br />sorghum production was a <br />fraction of normal. <br />By GAII, PI'STS <br />7h Puebin C6ie /min <br />Dismal monthly crop reports ] <br />throughout 2002 were rolled into one <br />big drought - driven disappointment <br />for the state's harvest for the year. <br />The drought reduced harvested <br />acres and yields dramatically. the <br />Colorado Agricultural Statistics Ser- <br />vice in Lakewood reported. <br />All wheat production for the state <br />was down 44 percent from 2001 to <br />38.7 million bushels. Average ,yield <br />of 22 bushels per acre was 10 bushels <br />an acre below last year. <br />The area harvested for grain was <br />estimated by the service at 1.65 mil- <br />lion acres. down from 2 million in <br />2001. <br />Winter wheat production was esti- <br />mated at 36.3 million bushels, with <br />acres seeded last fan for harvest this <br />year estimated up 11 percent from the <br />seedings that produced the 2002 crop. <br />The spring wheat crop was estimated <br />at 2.4 million bushels; down from last <br />year's production, but with an aver- <br />age yield of 100 bushels per acre, up <br />28 bushels from last year. <br />The service said the state's com for <br />groin crop fell 37.5 million bushels to <br />112.3 million bushels with a higher <br />per -acre yield attributable to a large <br />portion of the harvested acres being <br />"Most of the dryland acreage was <br />either abandoned or not harvested for <br />groin;' the service said. <br />Sorghum for grain production was <br />shattered with an estimated harvest of <br />1.8 million bushels, down 7.66 mil- <br />lion bushels from 2001 with average <br />yields estimated at 20 bushels per <br />acre, down 23 bushels per acre from <br />the previous year. Only 90,000 acres <br />were harvested for grain, 130,000 <br />acres fewer than in 2001. <br />As for hay, stocks on farms and <br />ranches totaled 1.56 million tons on <br />the first of December, down 22 per- <br />cent from the 1.99 million on hand at <br />the beginning of December 2001 and <br />the lowest stocks since 1964. The low <br />stocks reflected both a poor harvest <br />and the need for _stockmen to feed <br />animals early in the year as pastures <br />failed. <br />In the San Luis Valley, fall potato <br />production was estimated at 27.89 <br />million hundredweight from 7L500 <br />acres harvested, the smallest crop <br />since 1989. Statewide the summer <br />potato crop was up considerably from <br />d 2001 at 2.3 million hundredweight. <br />not over <br />ply index) numbers back to a <br />normal range, because the soft <br />moisture profile is very low, <br />which will cause river flows to <br />reduce next spring.' <br />Vander Horst said recent <br />precipitation in the mountain <br />areas is helping. <br />"It's not to say the drought <br />is broken, but it has been <br />owing." <br />Drought takes <br />drastic toll <br />on harvest <br />Wheat production was <br />down 44 percent, com was <br />down 33 percent, hay was <br />down 22 percent and <br />sorghum production was a <br />fraction of normal. <br />By GAII, PI'STS <br />7h Puebin C6ie /min <br />Dismal monthly crop reports ] <br />throughout 2002 were rolled into one <br />big drought - driven disappointment <br />for the state's harvest for the year. <br />The drought reduced harvested <br />acres and yields dramatically. the <br />Colorado Agricultural Statistics Ser- <br />vice in Lakewood reported. <br />All wheat production for the state <br />was down 44 percent from 2001 to <br />38.7 million bushels. Average ,yield <br />of 22 bushels per acre was 10 bushels <br />an acre below last year. <br />The area harvested for grain was <br />estimated by the service at 1.65 mil- <br />lion acres. down from 2 million in <br />2001. <br />Winter wheat production was esti- <br />mated at 36.3 million bushels, with <br />acres seeded last fan for harvest this <br />year estimated up 11 percent from the <br />seedings that produced the 2002 crop. <br />The spring wheat crop was estimated <br />at 2.4 million bushels; down from last <br />year's production, but with an aver- <br />age yield of 100 bushels per acre, up <br />28 bushels from last year. <br />The service said the state's com for <br />groin crop fell 37.5 million bushels to <br />112.3 million bushels with a higher <br />per -acre yield attributable to a large <br />portion of the harvested acres being <br />"Most of the dryland acreage was <br />either abandoned or not harvested for <br />groin;' the service said. <br />Sorghum for grain production was <br />shattered with an estimated harvest of <br />1.8 million bushels, down 7.66 mil- <br />lion bushels from 2001 with average <br />yields estimated at 20 bushels per <br />acre, down 23 bushels per acre from <br />the previous year. Only 90,000 acres <br />were harvested for grain, 130,000 <br />acres fewer than in 2001. <br />As for hay, stocks on farms and <br />ranches totaled 1.56 million tons on <br />the first of December, down 22 per- <br />cent from the 1.99 million on hand at <br />the beginning of December 2001 and <br />the lowest stocks since 1964. The low <br />stocks reflected both a poor harvest <br />and the need for _stockmen to feed <br />animals early in the year as pastures <br />failed. <br />In the San Luis Valley, fall potato <br />production was estimated at 27.89 <br />million hundredweight from 7L500 <br />acres harvested, the smallest crop <br />since 1989. Statewide the summer <br />potato crop was up considerably from <br />d 2001 at 2.3 million hundredweight. <br />