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Range of Firm Yield for M &I Use <br />Estimated Potential Arkansas Agricultural Transfers <br />Estimate of <br />Total Potential <br />Minimum acre -feet of <br />Total <br />Loss of Irrigated <br />Total acres <br />Firm yield <br />storage required to <br />Irrigated <br />Acres <br />converted for <br />available from <br />Firm Agricultural <br />Acres <br />2000 -2030 <br />M &I use <br />transfer <br />Transfer for M &I use <br />538,000 <br />23,000- 72,000 <br />19,000 - 64,000 <br />26,000 - 89,000 <br />52,000- 178,000 <br />Assumptions: <br />• 1.4 AF of firm yield is realized from the average agricultural transfer <br />• <br />70% of the consumable effluent is reused for landscape irrigation <br />• An average of 2 AF of storage per AF of firm yield is required for winter deliveries, <br />drought carryover and effluent storage <br />-Losses of Reverse Osmosis treatment concentrate are not included - these could <br />reduce yields by 15 -20% If riot recovered <br />NOTE: Not all of this water may be available for in -basin use <br />Key Findings Regarding Gap Analysis <br />Statewide 2030 demands <br />Per capita water use <br />— Reconnaissance level <br />— Takes into account tourism and industrial uses <br />— Future demand may be impacted by changes in demographics <br />Conservation <br />— Projected conservation savings <br />— Additional conservation anticipated <br />Systematic annual reporting of water use and service <br />population <br />— Need for required data reporting <br />— Better data reporting to monitor future changes <br />Key Findings Regarding Gap Analysis <br />Statewide 2030 demands <br />• Water Providers have done a good job of planning for the <br />next 30 years <br />• Implementation of planned projects is essential as some <br />uncertainty exists <br />• Many large providers will be at or near build out in the next <br />30 years <br />• Smaller providers have less technical and financial <br />resources <br />13 <br />