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BLAND LETTER: The Natural Resources Weekly Report <br />Page 2 of 2 <br />As a result, Idaho's reservoirs are not refilling and the state is forced to live year to year for its water without <br />being able to save any, akin to living paycheck to paycheck. The Idaho Department of Water Resources is now <br />working diligently to make "calls" on water rights that ensure water users with senior rights get their share, <br />meaning those with junior rights must sometimes go without. <br />"Most Idaho reservoirs don't have that capability where they can supply full supply from the reservoir storage if <br />we have low years more than just one or two years in a row. We're basically using it all up," said state hydrologist <br />Bill Ondrechen. "It really is a drought problem, but the legal solution is someone needs to curtail their water so <br />the senior water right user can get their water." <br />John Roache of the Bureau of Reclamation echoed Ondrechen's comments. "There are shortages that are going to <br />occur this year in some systems because we didn't have the carryover from last year," he said. He highlighted the <br />Owyhee Basin in southwest Idaho and the Malheur River of eastern Oregon, near the border of Idaho, as areas <br />that may experience severe shortages. <br />Ondrechen used a statistical analysis called stochastic hydrology to determine how often a drought like this might <br />occur. Based on records of streamflow for the past 96 years, he statistically calculated likely historic streamflows <br />beyond that and determined that the Snake River would experience a drought lasting more than four years on a <br />500 -year cycle. <br />"What that indicates is that it's fairly unusual," Ondrechen said. <br />Idaho has experienced dry years in the past, some of them drier than now, like the infamous drought of 1977 and <br />several exceptionally dry years in the 1980s and'90s. "But we had a year or two in there of average [water] or <br />better to bring things back up and that's what we haven't had," Ondrechen said. <br />The current drought might break the record for most consecutive years of drought. Although the Dust Bowl lasted <br />throughout the 30s, the second half of the decade was sprinkled with a few wet years, so the current record holder <br />for consecutive years of drought is 1930 through 1935. If 2005 stays as dry as expected, Ondrechen said the <br />current drought will break that record. <br />Svoboda of the drought mitigation center wondered if some of the effects of the drought are self - imposed. "It's <br />hard to say exactly how much of that impact we're putting on ourselves," he said. "You basically have a question <br />of sustainable growth versus a finite water supply, and you don't really have anywhere to go except underground, <br />and then you're robbing from your future by depleting aquifers." <br />An aversion to excessive groundwater pumping is a primary reason the state is making calls on water rights, so it <br />is forced to live within its means. And the drought is starting to affect not just rural areas, but also the heavily <br />populated areas of Boise and surrounding towns known as the Treasure Valley, and farmers in the nearby Payette <br />Valley. <br />Although Idaho has been able to handle the drought so far, Dreher warned that now is not the time for the state to <br />rest on its laurels. "What we're going through is bad and it could get worse," he said. <br />Northwest reporter Natalie M. Henry is based in Portland, Ore. <br />E &E Pu Eis it .LLB = ESE D i y _ Greenwire = Land Letter Us <br />About E _ _ @ubl h n = Privacy �aI y = Staff _Direct ry = ont C1t <br />O 1996 -2004 E &E Publishing, LLC <br />http: / /www.eenews. net /Landletter /include /print.php ?single= 05050503 5/5/2005 <br />