Summary Report ‎(Working Draft)‎ Modeling of Reservoir Management Strategies for Lakes Powell and Mead December 2005

• Description: Summary Report ‎(Working Draft)‎ Modeling of Reservoir Management Strategies for Lakes Powell and Mead December 2005
• State: CO
• Title: Summary Report ‎(Working Draft)‎ Modeling of Reservoir Management Strategies for Lakes Powell and Mead December 2005
• Water Supply Pro - Doc Type: Meeting

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Modeling Results for
Colorado River Basin States' Modeling of
Colorado River and Reservoir Management Strategies
3.2.2 Recreation
The following elevations were designated by the Technical Modeling Committee
as key elevations for recreational opportunities on each reservoir: Powell 3570 ft;
Mead 1120 ft.
25%
20%
15%
v
v
O
w
0
a 10%
m
a
0
IL
5%
0% --
2005
Figure 3 -5
Probability of Lake Powell Elevation Below 3570
—9— Normal - Step Shortage Original
--A— Hybrid - Step Short Original
--E3-- Hybrid Rev1 -Step Short Rev1
2010 2015 2020 2025
Calendar Year
The probability of going below 3570 ft at Powell is between 10% and 18 %. The
difference between strategies is a maximum of 6% after 2020.
11