Summary Report ‎(Working Draft)‎ Modeling of Reservoir Management Strategies for Lakes Powell and Mead December 2005

• Description: Summary Report ‎(Working Draft)‎ Modeling of Reservoir Management Strategies for Lakes Powell and Mead December 2005
• State: CO
• Title: Summary Report ‎(Working Draft)‎ Modeling of Reservoir Management Strategies for Lakes Powell and Mead December 2005
• Water Supply Pro - Doc Type: Meeting

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Modeling Results for
Colorado River Basin States' Modeling of
Colorado River and Reservoir Management Strategies
3.2 Probability of Being Below a Key Elevation
3.2.1 Minimum Power Pool
25%
20%
e
15%
O
w
0
a
10%
A
a
0
A
5%
0%
2005
Figure 3 -3
Probability of Lake Powell Elevation Below 3490 Feet
2010 2015 2020 2025
Calendar Year
As shown in Figure 3 -3, the probability of going below power pool at Lake
Powell is less than 3% under all strategies. The Hybrid strategies show no
occurrences of going below power pool before 2017 due to the balancing at low
elevations.
E
Normal - Step Shortage Original
--j�r- Hybrid - Step Short Original
-$- Hybrid Rev1 - Step Short Rev1
2010 2015 2020 2025
Calendar Year
As shown in Figure 3 -3, the probability of going below power pool at Lake
Powell is less than 3% under all strategies. The Hybrid strategies show no
occurrences of going below power pool before 2017 due to the balancing at low
elevations.
E