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Last modified
9/4/2020 3:06:19 AM
Creation date
6/28/2011 2:30:08 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Contract/Permit #
2010-03
Applicant
Western Weather Consultants
Sponsor Name
Vail and Beaver Creek Associates
Project Name
Wintertime Cloud seeding at Vail and Beaver Creek Ski Areas
Title
WM Permit 2010-03
Prepared For
Western Weather Consultants
Prepared By
CWCB
Date
11/1/2010
County
Summit
Eagle
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Record of Decision
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r . <br /> fundamental problems must be answered first." The NAIWMC maintains that many fundamental <br /> issues have been substantively addressed since 1964. Fast-acting,efficient seeding agents have <br /> been developed,convective cloud transport and dispersion processes have been quantified, <br /> chemical tracer analysis of orographic programs has shown strong cause and effect,and <br /> innovative evaluation procedures have been developed and utilized. Though weather <br /> modification may not stand up to the kind of rigorous,even unreasonable,standards of scientific <br /> proof advocated by the NRC,many pragmatic organizations and institutions have recognized <br /> weather modification as a viable water and/or risk management tool. The American Society of <br /> Civil Engineers has published rigorously reviewed guidelines and standards and practice <br /> procedures for precipitation enhancement and hail suppression(ASCE Manual No. 81; <br /> EWRI/ASCE 39-03 and 42-04). A third document on fog dispersal is nearing publication. The <br /> Canadian insurance industry is the sole sponsor of a cloud seeding program in Alberta, <br /> specifically designed to suppress hail and thereby mitigate property loss. <br /> We believe the NRC report attempts to hold weather modification to a higher standard of <br /> proof than is applied to other technologies. Many aspects of the disciplines of meteorology and <br /> climatology would likewise fail the test of scientific proof advocated by NRC. Weather <br /> forecasting cannot meet the statistical and reproducible standards imposed on weather <br /> modification,yet attempts to forecast weather in advance must be maintained despite the <br /> imperfections of the science. We believe the NRC suggestion of a moratorium on cloud seeding <br /> operations is not only unrealistic,it ignores the avalanche of evidence pointing to its benefits. <br /> Moreover,the ravages of chronic drought and the persistent lack of fresh water to promote <br /> economic growth and development in the semi-arid western U. S. are compelling arguments for <br /> sustaining,even accelerating,the development of atmospheric water resources. <br /> The assertion by the NRC that future efforts concentrate on basic research to the neglect <br /> of application of new technologies until"understanding"is achieved is untenable. This notion <br /> again largely ignores the needs of the current operational community and the immediate benefits <br /> applied research could offer. Some basic research may be necessary,but we believe future <br /> weather modification research would yield greater success through a synergistic approach with <br /> operational programs. On this point the NRC seems to agree,since its final recommendation is <br /> that efforts "Capitalize on existing field facilities and developing partnerships among research <br /> groups and select operational programs." We suggest that a future research program be <br /> fashioned along the lines of the prior NOAA Atmospheric Modification Program(AMP),a <br /> federal/state partnership that would couple federal resources with operational programs in a direct <br /> effort to improve the efficacy of weather modification operations. <br /> In conclusion,the NRC is correct in stating that "weather modification should be viewed <br /> as a fundamental and legitimate element of atmospheric and environmental science' <br /> Research has shown increasing evidence that we may be inadvertently affecting our weather and <br /> climate through a variety of means. It seems reasonable that if we can affect negative changes to <br /> weather by inadvertent means,we also have the potential to produce positive changes by <br /> intentional means. The growing worldwide need for fresh water and protection from drought and <br /> hail damage warrants our best efforts to use the technologies now available while working <br /> diligently to refine and improve them. The time has come for a concerted national effort to take <br /> our present weather modification capabilities to the next level. <br />
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