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whether it could do so and still have yield for other uses. The model showed that the smaller <br />reservoir's firm yield was not quite up to 58,300 af; hence no non-irrigation demand was <br />modeled for the small reservoir. <br />2. Municipal and Industrial Demand <br />AECOM assigned 23 percent of the project yield to M&� demands to determine the approximate <br />proportion of the yield attributable to non-irrigation uses for the large reservoir. The percentage <br />is based on the Clay Report's references to 40,800 af of M&I use, out of a project yield of <br />178,000 af/yr. Monthly distribution of this annual demand was estimated by blending two <br />sources of information: the CDSS Baseline demand for the City of Grand Junction, and Ute <br />Water Conservancy District's Plateau Creek Pipeline Replacement Project Draft Environmental <br />Impact Statement. The two monthly patterns were averaged. For instance, April use in the Ute <br />EIS is 6.8 percent of total annual use, and CDSS shows that Grand Junction's April use is 7.6 <br />percent of the annual total. Accordingly, AECOM used 7.2 percent of the annual total M&I use <br />occurring in April. <br />3. Endangered Fish Flow Demand <br />The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (USFWS), through the Colorado River Recovery Program, has <br />identified late summer target flows in the 15-Mile Reach, which vary with the hydrologic year <br />type. The late summer target flow in Dry years (100 to 80 percent exceedance years) is 810 cfs, <br />and for Below Average years (50 to 80 percent exceedance years), is 1240 cfs. East Slope and <br />West Slope water providers in the Upper Colorado Basin were obligated to permanently supply <br />10,825 acre-feet of water per year (10825 Water) to assist with meeting these targets: The <br />USFWS has several sources of augmentation water in other reservoirs and utilizes these sources <br />for current operations which allow the flow recommendations to be met. It is possible that <br />additional augmentation water could allow the flow recommendations to be met at all times, <br />however, no present budget exits for purchase of water for this purpose. <br />It was assumed that 17 percent of Grand Valley Lake yield would be devoted to this use. The <br />percentage was based on the Clay Report's use of 61,100 af (i.e., 400 cfs for the 77 days from <br />July 15 through September 30) in half the years, out of a yield of 178,000 af. Uniform releases <br />were assumed to occur from mid-July through September. Based on the 10825 study <br />information (Grand River, 2007), AECOM assumed that late summer releases from Grand <br />Valley Lake to the 15-Mile Reach would be beneficial in 1 out of 2 years, that is, during the Dry <br />and Below Average years per USFWS target designations. However, the usefulness of flow <br />supplementation from the Grand Valley Lake in relation the Recovery Program goals may not <br />coincide with other options currently under moving forward in the 10825 process. If the Grand <br />Valley Lake Project is studied in more detail in the future, it will likely be necessary to revise <br />40 <br />� AECOM <br />2/22/10 <br />' <br />