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irreconcilable conflict, these water rights presumed that the current and the next reasonably <br />foreseeable increments of water development would not preclude fish recovery. These water <br />rights would also enable the consideration of any opportunities for reconciling compact <br />development and fish recovery in how those increments and full compact development were <br />distributed seasonally or across subbasins. <br />If there were two water projects that could be developed under the compact, but one would <br />preclude endangered fish recovery and the other would not, the theory is that the Colorado Water <br />Conservation Board has the authority not to modify the recovery flow right for the project that <br />would preclude fish recovery. The Board could also decide not to modify the recovery flow <br />water right for a water project that would both preclude fish recovery but also greatly limit <br />compact development, like a large hydropower project near the state line. <br />I view such recovery flow water rights as minimal protection. They are junior, modifiable, and <br />could still be overridden by the interstate compact on water development. They are initially <br />subject to substantial water development carveouts. The base flow filings are less than minimal <br />for endangered fish recovery because they do not attempt to protect any peak flows. They only <br />protect against stream dewatering under even more junior water rights, and put a low floor under <br />the recovery flow rights, which protect peak flows conversely with checkpoints on total <br />depletions and maybe by patterning junior water development. <br />Such minimal instream flow protection, and its attempted accommodation of the federal and state <br />interests, appears to me headed for rejection. Colorado water law is being not invoked to avoid <br />the potential conflict between the federal and state interests, but is being vigorously asserted to <br />block even such minimal flow protection and to aggravate the potential for conflict. The <br />opposition strategy appears to be to reduce the flow protection for the endangered fish under state <br />law from the minimum to nothing. Most recently, the Colorado River Water Conservation <br />District has questioned whether any attempt should be made to match up the depletion <br />accounting for Programmatic Opinion on the 15 Mile Reach with that for the recovery flow right, <br />and has asserted that such minimal flow protection should be completely "delinked" from the <br />water development that will be relieved by that biological opinion. It sounds like the River <br />District does not want to put any stock in a recovery flow right, and wants to make sure that <br />water development is instead independently secure. <br />If that is what the water users now want, we should consider the implications of not being able to <br />apply state law to protect in any meaningful way the flows recommended for endangered fish <br />recovery by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Here are some of the implications I see: <br />• The Programmatic Opinion would provide the checkpoints on accumulating depletions, and <br />would conversely protect peak flows. While there would not be any water right protection, <br />this opinion could consider all depletions above the 15 Mile Reach, both historic and future, <br />up to full compact development. The build -out of depletions under absolute water rights <br />would not be excluded from the accounting, as they might be under the recovery flow right. <br />