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� I <br />MEMORANDUM <br />TO: Dave Frick — Ayres Associates <br />FROM: Chuck Brendecke, Ed Armbruster - Hydrosphere <br />SUBJECT: Summary of Hydrosphere Model Runs to Evaluate Instream Flows <br />' DATE: July 26, 1999 <br />This memorandum summarizes assumptions and results of selected Yampa River Basin <br />model runs made by Hydrosphere during studies conducted between 1991 and 1996. The <br />summary focuses on the hydrologic implications of simulated water management strategies <br />to meet different instream flows at Juniper Canyon and Maybell. The principal assumptions <br />associated with each of these model scenarios, along with tables of resulting instream flows <br />and reservoir releases, are described below. <br />Definition of Scenarios <br />Numerous model scenarios were run using Hydrosphere's Yampa River Basin Model in <br />connection with Phase I and Phase II planning studies completed in 1993 and 1995, <br />respectively. Subsequent to the completion of the Phase II study, additional model scenarios <br />were developed to further examine a variety of operation and management options ( "O &M <br />Studies'). Of the more than fifty model scenarios run over the course of these efforts, six are <br />described below. All these model scenarios simulated storage releases from an enlarged <br />Elkhead Reservoir. The six scenarios include: <br />• The Phase I Study scenario, which simulates an instream flow water right based on the <br />contemplated draft of the Juniper Project and having a priority date of 1954. Reservoir <br />storage releases are made to satisfy existing and future in -basin demands, some of which <br />are called out by the 1954 instream flow right. <br />• The Phase II Study scenario, which simulates flow targets based on Preliminary Flow <br />Recommendations developed in 1994. In -basin demands are assumed to divert free from <br />any call for instream flows. Reservoir storage releases are then made year around to <br />bring Maybell flows up to the level of the targets, if they are not met otherwise. <br />• The Flow Rec. - Junior scenario, which simulates flow targets based on Revised Flow <br />Recommendations made by the USFWS. Reservoir releases are made year around to <br />bring Maybell flows up to the target level. <br />0 The CWCB - Junior scenario, which simulates flow targets based on the now - withdrawn <br />CWCB instream flow filing. Reservoir releases are made year around to bring Maybell <br />flows up to the target level. <br />Appendix A Hydrosphere Resource Consultants, 1002 Walnut Suite 200, Boulder, CO 80302 <br />