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damage annually. Miles estimated that 81,000 hectares within the <br />valley were irrigated with class C4 water, which is the U. S. Salinity <br />Laboratory's highest rating of salinity hazard for crops. <br />The objective of this study was to estimate how changes in his- <br />torical irrigation practices could affect the quantity and quality of <br />ground water and surface water in the Arkansas River valley. <br />Mathematical modeling represents a powerful tool to help evalu- <br />ate the potential impact of changes in irrigation management prac- <br />tices on the quality and quantity of surface and ground water. In the <br />Murray Basin in Australia, for example, ground water flow mod- <br />eling has been used to determine the effectiveness of alternative <br />grown water management schemes to prevent stream an land s - <br />..aa � o : vx.. <br />� , ° R M T ENT j P R O W E R 3� • <br />isation associated with irrigation (Simpson and Herczeg 1991; <br />_ <br />'09' OTERO 1 <br />( f <br />Ghassemi et al. 1989. Within the Roswell and Carlsbad Basins in <br />a. -. -. <br />New Mexico, analytical and three - dimensional ground water flow <br />0 1 :o 30 40 50WILE5 <br />modeling are currently being used to assess the impact of reduced <br />ground water pumping on changes in base flow to the Pecos River <br />Figure 1. Location of study area. <br />in order to satisfy an interstate water compact between New Mexico <br />and Texas (Barroll 1996). A two - dimensional flow and solute trans- <br />river and irrigation canal flow, ground water withdrawals, and sur- <br />port model_(Konikow and Bredehoeft 1978) was applied to a 17.7 <br />face water quality. The present study incorporated this variability <br />km reach of the Arkansas River to examine the relations between <br />by using monthly data of these conditions to estimate the potential <br />hyd r o logic s tresses (such as irrigation, pumping, and streamflow); <br />effects of changes in irrigation practices. <br />ground water levels in the alluvial aquifer; and salinity of ground <br />water and surface water. Rather than using this model in a strictly <br />Description of Study Area <br />predictive sense, the hydrologic and chemical consequences of <br />The study area is located in the alluvial valley of the Arkansas <br />various modeled irrigation management scenarios were compared <br />River, near La Junta in southeastern Colorado (Figure 1), and is <br />to historic conditions. <br />about 17.7 km long and 2.4 km wide. This area was chosen because <br />This model has been applied to this site previously (Konikow <br />its hydrologic framework and water use patterns are representative <br />and Bredehoeft 1974a, 1974b; Person and Konikow 1986) and <br />of much of the Arkansas River valley downstream from Pueblo, <br />was originally developed for this area in the Konikow and <br />because of the availability of detailed hydrologic data (hydrology, <br />Bredehoeft (1974a) study. Konikow and Bredehoeft (1974a) mod- <br />geology, water use, and water quality), and because of the availability <br />eled the period from 1971 -72 to evaluate how ground water and river <br />of a previously calibrated model (Konikow and Bredehoeft <br />salinity changes in response to varying hydrologic stresses. Konikow <br />1974a).The climate is semi -arid; mean annual precipitation is about <br />and Bredehoeft (1974b) extended the simulation period to 1975 by <br />27.9 cm/yr; and mean annual temperature is 12 ° C. The primary crops <br />recycling the first year of input data. They assumed that the hydro- <br />in the study area are alfalfa, corn, sorghum, and wheat. About <br />logic stresses measured in the 1971 -72 study period were repre- <br />1993 hectares (about 27 %) of land in the study area are flood irri- <br />sentative of long -term averages. The simulation was extended to <br />gated with surface water and ground water. For the purposes of mod - <br />1982 by Person and Konikow (1986); however, the model was mod- <br />eling, the irrigated acreage in the study area was subdivided into <br />ified by incorporating an unsaturated zone solute transport function <br />three sub -areas. This subdivision is based on land use patterns, irri- <br />and by allowing the quantity of the applied surface water to vary <br />gation application rates, and irrigation canal administration proce- <br />based on actual streamflow measurements during 1972 -82. These <br />dures. Sub -areas 1, 2, and 3 compose about 20, 33, and 47% of the <br />studies emphasized the difficulties in using models to make pre- <br />total irrigated area in the study area, respectively (igure 2). <br />dictions of future hydrologic and water quality conditions sub- <br />Surface water is diverted for irrigation from the Arkansas <br />stantially beyond the model calibration period. The present study <br />River by the Fort Lyon Canal at its headgate, which is located <br />uses a 24 year study period as the basis for model calibration, a sub- <br />about 1.6 km west of the upstream end of the study area. The <br />stantially longer period than previous studies. Natural and anthro- <br />unlined canal follows the northern boundary of the study area <br />pogenic effects throughout the 24 year study period produced a high <br />(Figure 2) and generally diverts a substantial portion of the stream - <br />degree of variability in many hydrologic conditions, including <br />flow from the river (Figure 3). Direct -flow water rights for the canal <br />Figure 2. Map of study area, sub -areas of irrigated acreage, and aquifer boundaries. <br />77 <br />