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S, S'6easonal Drought Outloo, <br />Throu ry 20:03 <br />Re,eas Janual <br />d October 17 <br />.,2002 <br />Expansio <br />Persist <br />Development <br />ent <br />,p Drought developm <br />'1111 ikely <br />19i U <br />mprovement <br />Depicts general, large-scale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities <br />guided by numerous indicators, including short and long-range statistical and <br />dyna in i cal fore ca sts. Sh ort-term events — su ch as i ndi vid ual storm s -- ca nnot be <br />accurat el y forecast in ore tha n a few da ys i n a dean ce, so u se taut io n i f usi ng thl s <br />outlook fo r applications -- such as crops - -that can be affected by such events. <br />"tangoing" drought a re as are sch em ati ca 11 y approximated from the Drought M o nitor <br />(D1 to D 4). For -me ki y drought updates, see the latest D roug M NI on to r in a p and <br />te xf. <br />Ell <br />