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The sod industry estimates that at least half of its business was lost for this year due to the <br />restrictions. Some of the loss will be made up after the drought is over. Similar <br />problems affected the whole landscaping industry, although to a somewhat lesser extent. <br />The landscape industry estimates its impact on the Colorado economy at $2.2 billion per <br />year, although that seems high. If business were down in this larger industry by 25 %, <br />then the loss would be $500 million. As some of this will be made up after the end of the <br />drought and more business will be generated if people convert to more drought tolerant <br />landscaping, the net loss may be more like $200 million. <br />Adding the municipal water and landscape costs together suggests a cost in this sector of <br />$330 million. The two main components of this loss are the value of water not used by <br />consumers and the loss of landscaping sales in the landscape industry. These may <br />overlap and are both very uncertain numbers. <br />F. Total Cost and Avoidable Cost <br />Some of the estimates for some sectors are only educated guesses. Adding the costs for <br />each of the above sectors: $500 -$600 million in agriculture, $250 million in tourism, <br />$100 -$150 million in forest fires, and $330 million in municipal and landscaping; gives a <br />total of $1.2 -$1.3 billion cost for the drought of 2002. That, of course, assumes that there <br />is no con inua ion in o 2003. That amount is roughly 0.7 percent of our state's income. <br />While this estimate is actually higher than the published estimate of $1.1 billion, the <br />increase stems from a more complete inventory of the damage and is still a very small <br />fraction of state income. <br />Table 111.1. Economic Impact Total Costs and Avoidable Costs of Drought, <br />by Sector <br />In the West, drought is inevitable and some of its costs are too. However, some could be <br />avoided. As one looks through the costs of this drought, it is apparent that most of the <br />costs incurred would be difficult to avoid. <br />In agriculture, nearly all of the effects come not from lack of water, but from lack of very <br />cheap or free water. Dry land farmers are not going to irrigate their crops unless the <br />water can be delivered to the crop more cheaply than the loss of product. The big <br />agricultural loss is from loss of pasture and that would be almost impossible to irrigate <br />M <br />