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JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION <br />FEBRUARY AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION 2004 <br />USE AND EFFECTIVENESS OF MUNICIPAL WATER <br />RESTRICTIONS DURING DROUGHT IN COLORAD0 <br />Douglas S. Kenney, Roberta A. Klein, and Martyn R Clarke <br />ABSTRACT. Drought conditions in the summer of 2002 prompted <br />several cities along Colorado's Front Range to enact restrictions on <br />outdoor water use, focusing primarily on limiting the frequency of <br />lawn watering. The different approaches utilized by eight water <br />providers were tracked to determine the level of water savings <br />achieved, measured as a comparison of 2002 usage to 2000 to 2001 <br />average usage, and also based on a statistical estimate of 2002 <br />"expected use" that accounts for the impact of drought conditions <br />on demand. Mandatory restrictions were shown to be an effective <br />tool for drought coping. During periods of mandatory restrictions, <br />savings measured in expected use per capita ranged from 18 to 56 <br />percent, compared to just 4 to 12 percent savings during periods of <br />voluntary restrictions. As anticipated, providers with the most <br />stringent restrictions achieved the greatest savings. <br />(KEY TERMS: water conservation; drought; water restrictions; <br />urban water management.) <br />Kenney, Douglas S., Roberta A. Klein, and Martyn R Clark, 2004. Use and Effec- <br />tiveness of Municipal Water Restrictions During Drought in Colorado. Journal <br />of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 40(1):77 -87. <br />INTRODUCTION <br />There is a long tradition in municipal governments <br />to base water plans and associated water develop- <br />ment activities on high growth scenarios, extreme <br />drought conditions, and only a modest level of water <br />conservation savings (Baumann et al., 1998). This <br />worst case scenario planning greatly limits the risk of <br />experiencing water shortages and thus the political <br />fallout that can accompany such an event. For this <br />reason, most municipal residents in the United <br />States, even in and and semi -arid regions, rarely if <br />ever experience shortages at the tap. It takes some- <br />thing truly out of the ordinary to seriously test the <br />resilience of most municipal water systems. <br />In the summer of 2002, residents in the Denver <br />metro area experienced something out of the ordinary. <br />A few relatively dry but otherwise uneventful years <br />quickly developed into the most extreme drought on <br />record, surpassing even the 1954 drought often used <br />for planning purposes. Faced with rapidly declining <br />water supplies and the prospects of real shortages, <br />most municipalities in the region turned to outdoor <br />lawn watering restrictions as an emergency coping <br />mechanism. Restrictions, both voluntary and manda- <br />tory, were coupled with public education campaigns <br />and sometimes included other elements such as price <br />increases. <br />In this study the experiences of municipal water <br />providers serving the following cities along Colorado's <br />northern Front Range were tracked: Aurora, Boulder, <br />Fort Collins, Lafayette, Louisville, Thornton, and <br />Westminster. Denver Water also was tracked. In addi- <br />tion to serving Colorado's largest city, Denver Water <br />provides full or partial supplies to approximately 90 <br />surrounding communities and water districts (Hydro- <br />sphere Resource Consultants, Inc.; HRS Water Con- <br />sultants, Inc.; Mulhern MRE, Inc.; and Spronk Water <br />Engineers, Inc., 1999, unpublished report). As shown <br />in Table 1, these eight providers collectively serve <br />more than 1:85 million customers. Each of the eight <br />municipal water providers studied operates with a <br />different mix of supply sources and water rights port- <br />folios, and each enacted a slightly different suite of <br />iPaper No. 03072 of the Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) (Copyright m 2004). Discussions are open until <br />August 1, 2004. <br />2 Respectively, Research Associate, Natural Resources Law Center, University of Colorado, UCB 401, Boulder, Colorado 80309 -0401; Man- <br />aging Director, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, UCB 488, Boulder, Colorado 80309 -0488; and <br />Director, Western Water Assessment, University of Colorado, UCB 488, Boulder, Colorado 80309 -0488 (E-Mail/Kenney: Douglas.kenney@ <br />colorado.edu). <br />JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION 77 <br />JAWRA <br />