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M, us. ore, Idea, vicuna. adds; Docent, AND Casa; <br />A — B <br />fl,^J <br />I Y ' <br />JW <br />in I <br />..... <br />elUlei, 1 [ 1M llumin¢ 'At Yea, is nru Rend and H4 Nipm lude- I abutexmr. <br />ground.weter flows are of the mine order of magni- <br />tude and in the tome direction for a majority of the <br />si mulated over reaches. no average difference <br />instance simulated and observed uurfaee some Howe <br />for me Recommends Valley and the Eon Jda in Basin <br />for 1975 -18119 was 0,04d kmnemn [35.7 Steamed sore <br />feat par month ImVmn)], the RMEE was 0.17 km <br />1139 lattice), and the R ASE /range was 2t3 . Given that <br />average of 2.6 km n I2.1 million ace feet per <br />Ad th fineVmml flows through them beams, the mr <br />rude water flaw ey ode s representation in the calibrated <br />model is comidamd to be very amasses.. <br />Entrant Scenarios <br />Ilroughl nummarew card here a e na <br />nstrud s <br />few w s <br />r How sediments representing nth <br />with m mduetions in Preeipimlion modest fine <br />30 it, 70'8 for periods ranging from Inveare on <br />a0 yearn, with a 10-yoar spimup and a 30-year rems, <br />Pry. The O2VSIM boundary Ibming wee generated <br />sing the CALSIM If model and historical flow chase- <br />reasons of Unit" Valley nth flown based on me sec <br />ifled reductions rorrexpuShcng or each scenario. The <br />notation for the set of 12 acenarion hen favor, in Table 1. <br />The methodology used to emote hvpothoticol <br />drought adenarioa consisted in selecting randomly <br />hydrologic dry yeare in terms of reservoir mHtmvi <br />font the historic record and appending them together <br />to cream the specified droughts. For each one of these <br />time soma of appended years we animated time <br />surrom of reservoir relenma and surface water deliver- <br />ies resu from an hiomrie simulation done with <br />the (VUeF(Af 11 model. Them time series w <br />matelud to the required CYVE'fM input node lilt <br />nest Assured through mix method that the asset <br />m asum. becmom there radiation a'perfect ties .lati n <br />between inflows In rexerun not <br />and deliveries. nd also <br />amuse the inductors were assumed to be lbmmsge <br />notice throughout the different regions Included In <br />the model. An analysis of She input dare Shut went <br />into the model shows that the derived scenarios were <br />underestimations of the expened radocdorm and the <br />distribution of imminence were not hnmagen <br />The remainder M this study more on the theca <br />drought intensity levels an light (3i)fi i, moderato <br />1600f, and nature 17iyo). noting that the noduetwrm <br />in deliveries em rower then the mdustum in reader <br />inflnwx. The afforded drought scenarios And <br />rraunroen in Prompaatian, rn orientation, and <br />sudxce water deliveries are panned in 'Pablo 2. <br />RESULTS AND DISCUSSION <br />'Me Control Volley rag on wvem 51,309 km' 112,7 <br />million acres iMae)I, whh a mopped seen M' <br />27 518 Wd' 16.8 Mac) in 2003. The Control Valley can <br />he decided into Ova hydrologic regions the seem- <br />cents Valley Cwcre me nmthere port Of the Central <br />JAWRA 8811 Jamndt or it Auaxmea WAVE Remeado Asaocunox <br />