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<br />category in fall of 2004 (Figure 24) and the higher fall 2004 abundance estimate <br />for HBC ;:: 150 mm appears to verify this (Figure 22). <br /> <br />To generate the fall 2004 estimate of 796 (SE = 184) HBC ~ 200 mm, the <br />length stratified Chapman-Petersen estimate for fish > 200 mm was corrected to <br />include fish ~ 200 mm. This procedure was performed because it was preferable <br />to truncating the data at 200 mm and obtaining an independent length stratified <br />estimate (Seber 1982). It should be mentioned that for an additional exercise, <br />the data were truncated and a length stratified estimate was obtained that was <br />similar (although higher by 55 fish and containing only 3 recaptures within one of <br />the strata). It should be made clear that the low fall estimates for HBC ~ 200 mm <br />obtained over the past four years (Table 16) are expected to be lower than the <br />spring estimates (Table 9), since a portion of HBC migrate out of the LCR after <br />the spring spawning event (Gorman and Stone 1999). Nevertheless, both the fall <br />and spring abundance estimates do provide trend data indicating that the <br />numbers of these larger fish are low. <br /> <br />No estimate was provided this year for the abundance of HBC between 100 to <br />149 mm. This is because PIT tagging of HBC <150 mm was discontinued in <br />2004 because of concerns about mortality and potential tag loss in this size class <br />of small fish. This estimate was also not possible to make in fall 2003 because <br />only one fish was recaptured out of only 26 marked (Van Haverbeke 2004). This <br />complication in fall 2003 (Le., lack of captures and failure to achieve an <br />abundance estimate for this size class of fish) may have been largely caused by <br />the poor 2002 age-O cohort, as Figure 24 clearly shows a lack of fish in the 100- <br />150 mm size category during fall 2003. In fall 2002, a length stratified Chapman <br />Petersen estimate of 2,033 fish (SE = 284) was given for the fall abundance of <br />HBC from 100 to 149 mm (Van Haverbeke 2003). This success in obtaining an <br />abundance estimate in fall 2002 may have been a result of the large 2001 age-O <br />cohort (Le., sufficient fish were available for marking and recapture in this size <br />category during fall 2002; Figure 24). <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />28 <br />